Performance of risk prediction models for post-operative mortality in patients undergoing liver resection

BackgroundLiver resection is commonly performed for hepatic tumors, however preoperative risk stratification remains challenging. We evaluated the performance of contemporary prediction models for short-term mortality after liver resection in patients with and without cirrhosis.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study examined National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data. We included patients who underwent liver resections from 2014 to 2019. VOCAL-Penn, MELD, MELD-Na, ALBI, and Mayo risk scores were evaluated in terms of model discrimination and calibration for 30-day post-operative mortality.ResultsA total 15,198 patients underwent liver resection, of whom 249 (1.6%) experienced 30-day post-operative mortality. The VOCAL-Penn score had the highest discrimination (area under the ROC curve [AUC] 0.74) compared to all other models. The VOCAL-Penn score similarly outperformed other models in patients with (AUC 0.70) and without (AUC 0.74) cirrhosis.ConclusionThe VOCAL-Penn score demonstrated superior predictive performance for 30-day post-operative mortality after liver resection as compared to existing clinical standards.     

Minimally Invasive Treatments for Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia: Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis

PurposeTo review and to compare indirectly the outcomes of minimally invasive therapies for the treatment of lower urinary tract symptoms secondary to benign prostatic hyperplasia.Materials and MethodsA literature search via Medline and Cochrane Central databases was completed for randomized control studies published between January 2000 to April 2020 for the following therapies: Rezum, Urolift, Aquablation, and prostatic artery embolization (PAE). Data on the following variables were included: International prostate symptom score (IPSS), maximum urinary flow rate, quality of life, and postvoid residual (PVR). Standard mean differences between treatments were compared through a meta-analysis using transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP) to assess differences in treatment effect.ResultsThere was no significant difference in outcomes between therapies for IPSS at the 3, 6, and 12-month follow ups. Although outcomes for Rezum were only available out to 3 months, there were no consistently significant differences in outcomes when comparing Aquablation versus PAE versus Rezum. TURP PVR was significantly better than Urolift at 3, 6, and 12 months. No significant differences in minor or major adverse events were noted.ConclusionAlthough significant differences in outcomes were limited, Aquablation and PAE were the most durable at 12 months. PAE has been well studied on multiple randomized control trials with minimal adverse events while Aquablation has limited high quality data and has been associated with bleeding-related complications.     

Validation of the Modena bleeding score in endoscopic sinus surgery

IntroductionThe Modena bleeding score is a categorical rating scale that allows the assessment of the surgical field in relation to bleeding during endoscopic surgery. It has recently been presented and validated in the field of endoscopic ear surgery by the present authors. The Modena bleeding score provides five grades for rating the surgical field during endoscopic procedures (from grade 1 ? no bleeding to grade 5 ? bleeding that prevents every surgical procedure except those dedicated to bleeding control).ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to validate the Modena bleeding score in the setting of endoscopic sinus surgery.MethodsFifteen three-minute videos of endoscopic sinus surgery procedures (each containing three bleeding situations) were evaluated by 15 specialists, using the Modena bleeding score. Intra and inter-rater reliability were assessed, and the clinical validity of the Modena bleeding score was calculated using a referent standard.ResultsThe data analysis showed an intra-rater reliability ranging from 0.6336 to 0.861. The inter-rater reliability ranged from 0.676 to 0.844. The clinical validity was α = 0.70; confidence limits: 0.64 ? 0.75, corresponding to substantial agreement.ConclusionThe Modena bleeding score is an effective method to score bleeding during endoscopic sinus surgery. Its application in future research could facilitate the performance and efficacy assessment of surgical techniques, materials or devices aimed to bleeding control during endoscopic sinus surgery.     

特发性肺纤维化急性加重期证候与血清生物标志物的相关性研究＊

目的 通过分析特发性肺纤维化急性加重期（AE-IPF）患者证候与血清生物标志物的关系，为中医辨证治疗提供参考。方法 采用观察性研究设计，收集2019年3月至2019年11月三个中心的AE-IPF患者76例，其中痰热壅肺证26例、痰浊阻肺证50例，并纳入健康志愿者10例作为对照。采用ELISA测定患者血清CCL18、HMGB1、KL-6、MMP-7、SP-A和SP-D水平，分析与中医证候的相关性。结果 AE-IPF患者血清CCL18、HMGB1、KL-6、MMP-7、SP-A和SP-D水平均显著高于健康对照组。血清CCL18、HMGB1、KL-6、MMP-7和SP-D水平在痰热壅肺证和痰浊阻肺证患者间无显著性差异（P＞0.05），而血清SP-A水平存在显著性差异（P＜0.05）。结论 血清SP-A与AE-IPF证候存在一定的相关性，血清SP-A的浓度升高，与痰热壅肺证关系越密切，反之，血清SP-A浓度降低，则与痰浊阻肺证关系越密切。AE-IPF痰热壅肺证患者的预后可能较痰浊阻肺证患者更差。     

姑息性胃切除联合术后化疗评分在腹膜转移的胃癌患者预后评估中的临床意义

目的:探讨姑息性胃切除联合术后化疗评分在腹膜转移的胃癌患者预后评估中的临床意义。方法:回顾性分析2010年1月至2016年12月7年间收治的287例发生腹膜转移的胃癌患者的临床病理资料。通过χ2检验分析评分与患者临床病理因素间的关系。通过Kaplan-Meier法绘制生存曲线，Log-rank检验比较患者生存率的差异；采用Cox比例风险回归模型对患者进行预后分析。结果:与评分中得分为2分和1分的患者相比，得分为0分的患者肿瘤侵润至T4b 期的患者较少［31%(18/58)比50.8%(63/124)、56.2%(59/105)，P=0.039］。全组患者的中位生存时间仅为8.7月。对患者进行单因素预后分析结果显示，血清白蛋白浓度（≤40 g/L），腹水，腹膜转移范围较大，肿瘤T分期较晚，评分得分较高的患者预后较差（均P＜0.05）。将上述因素纳入Cox多因素分析结果显示:评分［HR（95%CI）:1.384（1.165~1.644），P=0.000］，血清白蛋白浓度［HR（95%CI）:0.759（0.593~0.971），P=0.028］，肿瘤T分期［HR（95%CI）:1.493（1.216~1.832），P=0.000］是患者预后的独立危险因素。结论:评分对于胃癌伴腹膜转移患者的预后生存评估具有重要的临床意义。     

基于数据挖掘的国医大师刘祖贻治疗脑梗死恢复期方药规律研究

目的挖掘分析国医大师刘祖贻治疗脑梗死恢复期的处方用药规律,总结其学术思想。方法收集整理刘祖贻治疗脑梗死恢复期的病案处方,录入中医传承辅助平台软件中构建数据库,再使用该软件相关功能进行数据挖掘,分析处方中的组方用药规律。结果①共得处方147首,涉及药物179味,累计使用频次2 164次。②使用频次在20次及以上的药物,共有22味,其中前10味高频药物为黄芪、丹参、山楂、葛根、枸杞子、地龙、制何首乌、川芎、石菖蒲、淫羊藿。③黄芪用量从15 g至120 g均可见,最常用剂量为30 g,常用剂量范围主要集中于30～60 g。④药物功效分类排名靠前的为补虚药、活血化瘀药、平肝息风药等。⑤高频药组前5位为丹参-黄芪、黄芪-山楂、葛根-黄芪、葛根-丹参、丹参-山楂;关联度较高的药组有地龙-黄芪、葛根-地龙-黄芪、丹参-地龙-黄芪等。⑥通过聚类分析算法提取出核心组合12个,进而演化出潜在新方6首,如"白芍、威灵仙、桂枝、鸡血藤、白芥子""全蝎、菊花、蜈蚣、刺蒺藜"等。结论国医大师刘祖贻治疗脑梗死恢复期的用药以益气温阳、填精益髓、活血通络、息风化痰为主,重用黄芪,方以自拟芪仙通络方加减,体现出"气阳主用""脑髓阳生阴长"等学术思想。     

肝内胆管癌肝切除术后“教科书式结局”影响因素分析及预测模型建立

目的 分析肝内胆管癌（ICC）病人肝切除术后“教科书式结局”（TO）的影响因素，构建预测TO评分模型。方法 回顾性分析2011年1月至2017年1月东南大学附属中大医院和中国人民解放军东部战区总医院八一医院收治的261例行肝切除术的ICC病人临床病理资料，分析影响TO的独立危险因素，根据危险因素的权重构建预测TO的评分模型。结果 261例ICC病人中，67例（25.7%）术后发生TO。年龄、肝硬化、手术时间和T分期［第8版美国癌症联合委员会（AJCC）癌症分期］为术后TO的独立预测因素。依此4项因素构建的评分模型显示了较好的预测准确性，最佳截断值为-1.9分，其敏感度为67.2%，特异度为62.9%。一致性检验显示其预测概率和实际发生概率有着较好的一致性（χ2=1.350，P=0.853）。结论 基于年龄、肝硬化、手术时间、T分期4个因素建立的评分模型可较准确地预测ICC病人术后TO的可能性，即手术时间短、无肝硬化、肿瘤直径<5 cm的年轻ICC病人肝切除后获得TO的可能性更大。