影响肝外伤手术死亡的危险因素分析

目的分析影响肝外伤手术死亡的危险因素,探讨其临床意义。方法根据AAST和ISS标准,回顾性分析90例肝外伤手术病例,对影响手术死亡的危险因素进行单因素比较和Logistic回归分析。结果死亡15例,其中Ⅲ级2例、Ⅳ级4例、Ⅴ级9例,总体手术死亡率17%。Ⅳ~Ⅴ级肝外伤手术方式的单因素比较提示:清创性肝切除术的相对危险度是0.73;而规则性肝切除术、肝静脉或肝后下腔静脉修补术相对危险度分别是1.32、1.52。Logistic回归分析提示:ISS分会和术中失血量是影响手术死亡率的2个独立因素。结论ISS分值、术中失出血量和手术方式是影响肝外伤手术死亡的3个重要因素,娴熟的手术技能和合理的手术方式可以减少术中出血量和降低手术死亡率。     

不良生活方式与高血压病的流行病学调查分析

目的:调查不良生活方式对高血压发病的影响。方法:以国际通用血压测量方法对全区15 384人进行整群随机抽样调查,着重对有、无不良生活方式的两组人群进行高血压患病率调查,及相对危险度(RR)、归因危险度(AR)、人群归因危险度(ARp)、U检验等的检测,以及相关及多元回归分析。结果:食盐量≥12 g/d高血压患病率31.6％,<12 g/d的为 4.4％(P<0.001,RR 7.3,AR 27.3,ARp 57.2％,r=0.8517);BMI>24高血压患病率 23.2％,<24者 6.4％(P<0.001,RR 3.7,AR 16.9,ARp 37.2％,r=0.3215);肥胖患病率 34.7％,无肥胖8.1％(P<0.001,RR 4.3,AR 26.6％,ARp 19.7％,r=0.3529);油腻饮食高血压患病率14.8％,非油腻饮食8.7％(P<0.001,RR1.7,AR 6.1,ARp 13.9％,r=0.3853);吸烟高血压患病率 12.5％,非吸烟 9.2％(P<0.001,RR1.4,AR 3.3,ARp 8.3％,r=0.8403);饮酒患病率 12.7％,非饮酒 9.4％(P<0.001,RR1.35,AR 3.3,ARp6.7％,r=0.4650)。为进一步了解各危险因子与高血压患病率之间的数量关系和对高血压影响作用的大小,对所有对象用年龄(15～80岁)进行了分组,龄差1岁,共66组,多元回归结果为:偏相关系数0.3775～0.0809,建立的统计模型达到极显著水平(P<0.001),复相关系数0.9525。6个回归因子中按对高血压患病率影响(偏相关系数)大小排序:     

Effectiveness of electroconvulsive therapy in community settings.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials indicate that electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is the most effective treatment for major depression, but its effectiveness in community settings has not been examined. METHODS: In a prospective, naturalistic study involving 347 patients at seven hospitals, clinical outcomes immediately after ECT and over a 24-week follow-up period were examined in relation to patient characteristics and treatment variables. RESULTS: The sites differed markedly in patient features and ECT administration but did not differ in clinical outcomes. In contrast to the 70%-90% remission rates expected with ECT, remission rates, depending on criteria, were 30.3%-46.7%. Longer episode duration, comorbid personality disorder, and schizoaffective disorder were associated with poorer outcome. Among remitters, the relapse rate during follow-up was 64.3%. Relapse was more frequent in patients with psychotic depression or comorbid Axis I or Axis II disorders. Only 23.4% of ECT nonremitters had sustained remission during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The remission rate with ECT in community settings is substantially less than that in clinical trials. Providers frequently end the ECT course with the view that patients have benefited fully, yet formal assessment shows significant residual symptoms. Patients who do not remit with ECT have a poor prognosis; this underscores the need to achieve maximal improvement with this modality.     

Prediction of Remission of Acute Posttraumatic Stress Disorder in Motor Vehicle Accident Victims

One hundred forty five individuals who sought medical attention as a result of a motor vehicle accident (MVA), and who were initially assessed 1 to 4 months post-MVA, were followed up prospectively for 6 months to determine how many of the 55 with posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and the 43 with sub-syndromal PTSD would remit and what variables would predict remission. Thirty (55%) of those with initial PTSD had remitted at least in part by 6 months while 67% of those with sub-syndromal PTSD had remitted (and 5% had worsened). Four variables, including severity of initial symptoms, degree of initial physical injury, relative degree of physical recovery by 4 months and whether a close family member suffered a trauma during the follow-up interval, combined to classify 6-month clinical status of 84% of those with initial PTSD secondary to MVAs.     

Population kinetics of gentamicin in neonates

A population kinetic analysis was carried out on sparse plasma gentamicin (GE) concentration data from 469 neonates obtained as part of a routine therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) programme in the hospital neonatology unit.The best predictors of the kinetic parameters of the monoexponential model, volume of distribution (Vd) and clearance (CL), were the weight (WT) and gestational age (GA). Vd of the neonates was only related to WT, whereas the half-life was only related to the GA.     

应用Meta分析有效估计人群归因危险度百分比的探讨

人群归因危险度百分比 (populationattributableriskproportion ,PARP)是总体人群中某种疾病归因于某种因素的暴露所引起的发病 (死亡 )占全部发病 (死亡 )的百分比 ,反映该因素所引起的发病 (死亡 )占全部发病 (死亡 )的比重。通过PARP可了解各危险因素对人群中某疾病的发病所产生的影响 ,亦即消除某危险因素后 ,所产生的对预防该疾病的效果将占有多大比重。它能够为卫生政策的制订提供依据 ,有着重要的公共卫生的实际意义。目前常用的估计PARP的方法有两种 :一种是利用全国人群抽样调查获得的人群总暴露率来估计 ;另一种是利用某地区…     

阳江高本底地区居民健康流行病学调查数据库与统计分析方法

目的 研究应用计算机数据库技术及先进统计分析方法,对阳江高本底地区10多万人20余年的健康随访研究资料和剂量学调查资料进行储存、管理和分析。方法 通过调研和比较分析,确定采用Foxbase系列数据库管理系统按专题建立数据库,借助于ID号实现记录连接；一般统计分析由SAS完成；交叉分组人年列表由Epicure中的Datab完成；癌症相对危险分析用AMFIT程序。结果 建立了40MB的各专题研究库,主要包括：10余万人的人口学数据库(1979～1995)、1.2万人的死因数据库(1979～1995)和526个村庄6783户、5273人的剂量数据库。提出了动态群组研究资料(1979～1986)与固定群组研究资料(1987～1995)的合并方法：首选方法是建立假想的基于记录连接的以1979年为起点的(固定)群组。另一方法是将不同阶段群组研究的人年表分层直接相加。计算了每个成员基于卧室内、起居室内、室外村平均剂量率与性别-年龄别居留因子的累积剂量。完成了以性别、atainedage、随访年代及剂量交叉分组的人年列表,对癌症死亡资料(1979～1990)进行了危险分析。结论 应用计算机数据库管理系统与统计分析技术使阳江高本底地区研     

Eighteen-month Coronal Caries Incidence in North Carolina Older Adults

In this longitudinal study of a random sample of North Carolinians over the age of 65 and living in their homes, 325 blacks and 280 whites were examined and interviewed 18 months after baseline examinations. Coronal caries incidence was greater among whites than blacks. The increment due to teeth becoming root fragments were similar for both races; however, there were more newly crowned teeth among whites. Newly crowned surfaces were not used as part of the caries increment in logistic regression models to investigate potential risk predictors. For blacks, caries development over the 18-month period was associated with a higher lactobacillus score and more coronal caries at baseline, more previously filled coronal surfaces, and lack of active membership in clubs or other groups. For whites, having no self-reported tooth sensitivity, having a lower socioeconomic index score, taking antihistamine medications at baseline, and having the perception of more problems after the age of 40 than before were all associated with the development of coronal caries.     

应用地理信息系统分析中国肾综合征出血热的空间分布

目的　利用地理信息系统 (GIS)技术分析中国大陆肾综合征出血热 (HFRS)的空间区域分布 ,建立HFRS危险区域分布图。方法　收集中国 41个HFRS监测点 1 995～ 1 998年的人群发病资料建立数据库 ,以中国省级、县级、一级河流数字地图为背景 ,在ArcGIS软件的支持下 ,与建立的数据库关联并对监测点人群发病资料进行反距离权重插值分析 ;收集 1 998年 6月SPOT4卫星覆盖东南亚地区的植被影像 ,逐一提取出各监测点监测区域的归一化植被指数 (NDVI) ,与 1 995～ 1 998年HFRS监测点人群平均发病率进行相关分析 ;根据不同流行强度监测区域的NDVI值 ,对遥感影像使用不同的颜色进行密度分割。结果　HFRS监测点人群发病资料的空间分析预测模型显示 ,中国HFRS主要分布于黑龙江流域、黄河中下游地区、长江中下游地区及京杭大运河 淮河流域地区 ,与1 995～ 1 998年全国各县HFRS平均发病率分布图进行比较 ,发现两者基本一致 ;相关分析显示HFRS发病率与NDVI之间呈现正相关 (r=0 .41 7,P <0 .0 1 ) ,根据各监测点NDVI的差异建立了中国HFRS危险区域分布图。结论　根据监测点数据采用GIS技术建立的预测模型对预测全国HFRS的分布情况有重要意义