Balance and mobility performance as treatable risk factors for recurrent falling in older persons

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine whether easily measurable measures for balance and muscle strength predicted recurrent falling as well as sophisticated measurements, and to examine which of the modifiable risk factors were strongest associated with recurrent falling. METHODS: The study was performed in a subsample (n=439, aged 69-92 years) of the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA). Balance, muscle strength, physical activity, and performance tests were assessed. Falls were recorded during 1 year. The outcome measure was recurrent falls (>/=2 falls within 1 year). RESULTS: The area under the curve (AUC) of mediolateral sway (AUC=0.67; 95% CI:0.57-0.77), tandem stand (AUC=0.61; 95% CI:0.49-0.73), leg extension strength (AUC=0.58; 95% CI:0.51-0.64), and handgrip strength (AUC=0.57; 95% CI:0.51-0.64) for recurrent falling were not significantly different. In a multivariate model, mediolateral sway (OR=2.8; 95% CI:1.1-6.9), tandem stand (OR=2.1; 95% CI:1.1-3.8), and walking test (OR=2.2; 95% CI:1.1-4.1) were significantly associated with recurrent falling. CONCLUSIONS: The easily measurable tandem stand and handgrip strength predicted recurrent falling as well as the sophisticated measures. Mediolateral sway was strongest associated with recurrent falling.     

A risk model for the prediction of recurrent falls in community-dwelling elderly: a prospective cohort study

The object of this article was to determine the predictive value of risk factors for recurrent falls and the construction of a fall risk model as a contribution to a mobility assessment for the identification of community-dwelling elderly at risk for recurrent falling in general practice. The design was a prospective cohort study (n = 311). There were four primary health care centers. A sample stratified on previous falls, age, and gender of community-dwelling elderly persons aged 70 years or over (n = 311) was taken from the respondents to a mail questionnaire (n = 1660). They were visited at home to assess physical and mental health, balance and gait, mobility and strength. A 36-week follow-up with telephone calls every 6 weeks was conducted. Falls and fall injuries were measured. During follow-up 197 falls were reported by 33% of the participants: one fall by 17% and two or more falls by 16%. Injury due to a fall was reported by 45% of the fallers: 2% hip fractures, 4% other fractures, and 39% minor injuries. A fall risk model for the prediction of recurrent falls with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79, based on logistic regression analysis, showed that the main determinants for recurrent falls were: an abnormal postural sway (OR 3.9; 95% Cl 1.3-12.1), two or more falls in the previous year (OR 3.1; 95% Cl 1.5-6.7), low scores for hand grip strength (OR 3.1; 95% Cl 1.5-6.6), and a depressive state of mind (OR 2.2; 95% CI 1.1-4.5). To facilitate the use of the model for clinical practice, the model was converted to a "desk model" with three risk categories: low risk (0-1 predictor), moderate risk (two predictors), and high risk (> or =3 predictors). A fall risk model converted to a "desk model," consisting of the predictors postural sway, fall history, hand dynamometry, and depression, provides added value in the identification of community-dwelling elderly at risk for recurrent falling and facilitates the prediction of recurrent falls.     

Risk indicators for falls in institutionalized frail elderly

The aim of this study was to identify individual predisposing risk indicators for falls in a sample of institutionalized frail elderly in southern Germany. The design was a prospective observational study with a 1-year follow-up (October 1998-September 1999). The study population included 472 long-term-care residents whose mean age was 84 years; 77% were female. Risk indicators for accidental falls were analyzed by using logistic regression. Residents were found to have an incidence density rate of falls of 2,558 per 1,000 resident-years. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed short-term memory loss, transfer assistance, urinary incontinence, positive fall history, and use of trunk restraints as predictors of falls. In a further logistic regression analysis, depressive symptoms, transfer assistance, urinary incontinence, and positive fall history were associated with frequent falls. Using these risk indicators as a screening procedure to identify fallers would be easy to administer and could be accomplished by nursing staff. Study results encourage specifically addressing urinary incontinence, cognitive impairment, use of restraints, depression, and transfer difficulties as modifiable predisposing risk factors for falls. Fall history represents an important nonmodifiable marker to identify residents at high risk.     

History taking and leukocyturia predict the presence of asymptomatic bacteriuria in women with diabetes mellitus

Objective: To investigate the accuracy of history taking to diagnose asymptomatic bacteriuria (ASB) in diabetic women, and the added value of leukocyturia. Methods: Data were obtained from a multicenter study including 465 women with diabetes. Many patient characteristics were considered as potential diagnostic determinants. A urinary leukocyte count and a urine culture (the criterion standard) were performed. Logistic regression analyses were performed and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) were calculated. Results: For women with type 1 diabetes (n=236; ASB 11%), duration of diabetes and glycosylated hemoglobin (GHb) were powerful predictors of ASB. The AUC of the model including these two variables was 0.66 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.53–0.78). After addition of leukocyturia, the AUC increased considerably to 0.78 (95% CI 0.68–0.88; p = 0.018). For women with type 2 diabetes (n = 229; ASB 19%), age and the number of symptomatic urinary tract infections (UTIs) in the previous year were the strongest predictors of ASB. The AUC of the model including these variables was 0.70 (95% CI 0.61–0.80). After addition of leukocyturia, the AUC increased to 0.79 (95% CI 0.71–0.86; p=0.023). Conclusion: In diabetic women, ASB can be diagnosed using two easily obtainable variables (duration of diabetes and GHb for women with type 1 diabetes, and age and the number of UTIs in the previous year for women with type 2 diabetes) in combination with a urinary leukocyte count. This results in a model with sufficient accuracy (AUC > 0.75).     

Preventive health care among older women in an academic primary care practice.

PURPOSE: We sought to examine the use of preventive health services among older women and to assess how age and illness burden influence care patterns. METHODS: The charts of 299 women aged > or =80 and 229 women aged 65-79 years who did not have dementia or terminal illness at 1 academic primary care practice in Boston were reviewed between July and December 2005 to determine receipt of screening tests (e.g., mammography), counseling on healthy lifestyle (e.g., exercise), and/or geriatric health issues (e.g., incontinence), and immunizations. Illness burden was quantified using the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). RESULTS: Women aged > or =80 were more likely than women aged 65-79 to have a CCI of > or =3 (24.0% vs. 16.7%) and were less likely to receive all screening tests. However, receipt of mammography (47.8%) and colon cancer screening (51.2%) was still common among women aged > or =80 and was not targeted to older women in good health. Women aged > or =80 were less likely to be screened for depression (adjusted relative risk [aRR] 0.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.5-0.8), osteoporosis (aRR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.5-0.9), or counseled about exercise (aRR 0.8; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9) than younger women, but were more likely to receive counseling about falls (aRR 1.9; 95% CI, 1.4-2.6) and/or incontinence (aRR 1.8; 95% CI, 1.2-2.6). However notes documenting discussions about mood (28.6%), exercise (40.0%), falls (28.8%), or incontinence (20.8%) were low among all women. CONCLUSION: In a comprehensive review of preventive health measures for elderly women, many in poor health were screened for cancer. Meanwhile, many older women were not screened for depression or counseled about exercise, falls, or incontinence. There is a need to improve delivery of preventive health care to older women.     

A screening tool with five risk factors was developed for fall-risk prediction in community-dwelling elderly

Objective

To develop a simple clinical screening tool for community-dwelling older adults.

Study Design and Setting

A prospective multicenter cohort study was performed among healthy subjects of 65 years and older, examined in 10 health examination centers for the French health insurance. Falls were ascertained monthly by telephone for 12-month follow-up. Multivariate analyses using Cox regression models were performed. Regression coefficients of the predictors in the final model were added up to obtain the total score. The discriminative power was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC).

Results

Thousand seven hundred fifty-nine subjects were included. The mean age was 70.7 years and 51% were women. At least one fall occurred among 563 (32%) participants. Gender, living alone, psychoactive drug use, osteoarthritis, previous falls, and a change in the position of the arms during the one-leg balance (OLB) test were the strongest predictors. These predictors were used to build a risk score. The AUC of the score was 0.70. For a cutoff point of 1.68 in a total of 4.90, the positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 72.0% and 72.7%, respectively.

Conclusion

A screening tool with five risk factors and the OLB test could predict falls in healthy community-dwelling older adults.     

Validation of the LASA fall risk profile for recurrent falling in older recent fallers

ObjectivesThe fall risk profile developed in the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA) identifies community-dwelling elderly at high risk for recurrent falling. This study assessed the predictive validity of this profile in older persons seeking care after a fall.Study Design and SettingThe LASA fall risk profile was completed for 408 persons of 65 years and older who consulted the emergency department or general practitioner after a fall. Falls were prospectively reported with a calendar during 1 year. Recurrent falling was defined as ≥2 falls within a period of 6 months.ResultsDuring 1 year of followup, 76 (18.6%) participants became recurrent fallers. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.65 (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 0.58–0.72). At a cutoff value of 8, the sensitivity was 56.6% (CI: 51.8–61.4), the specificity was 71.4% (CI: 67.0–75.8), the positive predictive value was 34.1% (CI: 29.5–38.7), and the negative predictive value was 85.6% (CI: 82.2–89.0).ConclusionThe discriminative ability of the LASA fall risk profile was moderate. The predictive validity of the LASA fall risk profile to identify recurrent fallers is limited among older persons who consulted the emergency department or general practitioner after a fall.     

Risk factors associated with onset of urinary incontinence in a community-dwelling elderly population: a 4-year follow-up study

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk factors associated with onset of urinary incontinence in a rural community-dwelling elderly population. METHODS: The study area, village N in Akita Prefecture, is a rural community in which a baseline survey of TMIG-LISA (Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology, Longitudinal and Interdisciplinary Study on Aging) was undertaken in 1996. Among the baseline subjects, 760 (314 males and 446 females) community-dwelling elderly people aged over 65, who did not suffer from urinary incontinence at entry of the survey were selected. This cohort has been followed for four years by multi-dimensional medical examination including interviews and physical performance tests, conducted on a yearly basis using similar methods to these for the baseline survey. RESULTS: After the 4-year follow-up, the incidence of urinary incontinence was 7.0% (22/314) in men and 12.3% (55/446) in women. The urinary incontinence group (UIG) had a significantly higher age and lower level of functional fitness at baseline for both sexes. In the UIG, the men but not the women had significantly lower serum levels of albumin and total cholesterol. By the logistic model, age (per 1-year increase: OR = 1.23, 95%CI: 1.11-1.38), and serum albumin (per 0.1 g/dl increase: OR = 0.70, 95%CI: 0.54-0.88) in men; and grip strength (per 1-kg increase: OR = 0.92, 95%CI: 0.86-0.98), social role (per 1-point decrease: OR = 1.81, 95%CI: 1.19-2.73), BMI (per 1-kg/m2 increase: OR = 1.10, 95%CI: 1.01-1.20) and smoking status (never smoker = 1.00, 3 = current smoker: OR = 7.53, 95%CI: 1.36-41.63) in women were independent variables significantly associated with onset of urinary incontinence. CONCLUSIONS: Lifestyle and functional fitness are significantly associated with onset of urinary incontinence in this population. Our findings suggest that intervention programs are needed to improve pelvic floor muscle and to provide social support for the elderly.     

A clinical prediction rule for urinary tract infections in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in primary care

We aimed to develop a prediction rule for urinary tract infections (UTIs) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2). A 12-month prospective cohort study was conducted in patients with DM2 aged > or = 45 years to predict the occurrence of recurrent UTIs in women and lower UTIs in men. Predictors for recurrent UTI in women (n=81, 2%) and lower UTIs in men (n=93, 3%) were age, number of general practitioner (GP) visits, urinary incontinence, cerebrovascular disease or dementia. In women, renal disease was an additional predictor. The optimism [corrected] corrected area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC) was 0.79 (95% CI 0.74-0.83) for women and 0.75 (95% CI 0.70-0.80) for men. Using a cut-off score of 4, women with a lower risk assignment had a probability of 0.3% for the outcome. For a cut-off score of 6, women with a higher risk assignment had a probability of 5.8%. For men these figures were 0.8 and 7.1 for a cut-off score of 2 and 4, respectively. Simple variables can be used for the risk stratification of patients.     

Urinary Incontinence and Indwelling Urinary Catheters in Acutely Admitted Elderly Patients: Relationship With Mortality,Institutionalization, and Functional Decline

ObjectivesTo study differences in functional status at admission in acutely hospitalized elderly patients with urinary incontinence, a catheter, or without a catheter or incontinence (controls) and to determine whether incontinence or a catheter are independent risk factors for death, institutionalization, or functional decline.DesignProspective cohort study conducted between 2006 and 2008 with a 12-month follow-up.SettingEleven medical wards of 2 university teaching hospitals and 1 teaching hospital in the Netherlands.ParticipantsParticipants included 639 patients who were 65 years and older, acutely hospitalized for more than 48 hours.MeasurementsBaseline characteristics, functional status, presence of urinary incontinence or catheter, length of hospital stay, mortality, institutionalization, and functional decline during admission and 3 and 12 months after admission were collected. Regression analyses were done to study a possible relationship between incontinence, catheter use, and adverse outcomes at 3 and 12 months.ResultsOf all patients, 20.7% presented with incontinence, 23.3% presented with a catheter, and 56.0% were controls. Patients with a catheter scored worst on all baseline characteristics. A catheter was an independent risk factor for mortality at 3 months (odds ratio [OR] = 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10–2.70), for institutionalization at 12 months (OR = 4.03, 95% CI 1.67–9.75), and for functional decline at 3 (OR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.32–3.54) and 12 months (OR = 3.37, 95% CI 1.81–6.25). Incontinence was an independent risk factor for functional decline at 3 months (OR = 1.84, 95% CI 1.11–3.04).ConclusionThere is an association between presence of a catheter, urinary incontinence, and development of adverse outcomes in hospitalized older patients.     

Falls in the elderly were predicted opportunistically using a decision tree and systematically using a database-driven screening tool

ObjectiveTo identify risk factors for falls and generate two screening tools: an opportunistic tool for use in consultation to flag at risk patients and a systematic database screening tool for comprehensive falls assessment of the practice population.Study Design and SettingThis multicenter cohort study was part of the quality improvement in chronic kidney disease trial. Routine data for participants aged 65 years and above were collected from 127 general practice (GP) databases across the UK, including sociodemographic, physical, diagnostic, pharmaceutical, lifestyle factors, and records of falls or fractures over 5 years. Multilevel logistic regression analyses were performed to identify predictors. The strongest predictors were used to generate a decision tree and risk score.ResultsOf the 135,433 individuals included, 10,766 (8%) experienced a fall or fracture during follow-up. Age, female sex, previous fall, nocturia, anti-depressant use, and urinary incontinence were the strongest predictors from our risk profile (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.72). Medication for hypertension did not increase the falls risk. Females aged over 75 years and subjects with a previous fall were the highest risk groups from the decision tree. The risk profile was converted into a risk score (range −7 to 56). Using a cut-off of ≥9, sensitivity was 68%, and specificity was 60%.ConclusionOur study developed opportunistic and systematic tools to predict falls without additional mobility assessments.     

Social status, life changes, housing conditions, health, functional abilitiesand life-style as risk factors for recurrent falls among the home-dwelling elderly

Objective

To define the risk factors for recurrent falls in the home-dwelling elderly.

Design

A prospective population-based study covering two years.

Setting

Five rural municipalities around the city Oulu, northern Finland.

Participants

All home-dwelling elderly persons (N = 1,016) aged 70 years or older living in the municipalities.

Outcome measures

The risk factors of recurrent falling by variables related to social status, life changes,housing conditions, health, functional abilities and life style, using cross-tabulations and multivariate analyses.

Results

The recurrent fallers (at least two falls within 365 days after the examination day) consisted of 17 men (6% of the men) and 71 women (14%). Logistic regression analyses showed female sex, urinary urgency, frequent fear of falling, dizziness, a poor pulse rate rise 30 seconds after standing up and falling during the previous year to be risk factors for recurrent falls. After the variable representing previous falls had been removed from the analysis, urinary incontinence and a change in housing conditions during the past two years emerged and urinary urgency dropped out of the model.

Conclusions

Women particularly are a target group for the prevention of falls among the elderly. Urinary urgency and urinary incontinence, fear of falling, dizziness and changes in the housing conditions should be inquired about to identify the elderly at risk for falling and to take preventive interventions. In addition to testing blood pressure changes after standing up, the changes in pulse rate should be determined to identify and treat elderly people who have orthostatic conditions.     

Falls among elderly persons in Latin America and the Caribbean and among elderly Mexican-Americans.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of and risk factors for falls among community-dwelling elders in Latin America and the Caribbean and among elderly Mexican-Americans in the southwestern United States. METHODS: Data for the study came from a project called Health, Well-Being, and Aging in Latin America and the Caribbean (Salud, Bienestar y Envejecimiento en América Latina y el Caribe) (the "SABE project") (surveys from seven cities, with a total of 9,765 subjects) and from the Hispanic Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly (H-EPESE) (1,483 subjects). RESULTS: The overall prevalence of falls across the seven SABE cities and the H-EPESE ranged from 21.6% in Bridgetown, Barbados, to 34.0% in Santiago, Chile. In multiple logistic regression analyses, female gender, increased age, high depressive symptoms, and having any functional limitations were significant independent risk factors for falls in most of the cities studied as well as among the elderly Mexican-Americans. In several of the cities, significant risk factors also included diabetes, urinary incontinence, and arthritis. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of falls had a large variation among the countries studied. Some of the risk factors that we identified could be modified so as to help prevent falls in older people in these populations. The factors deserving attention include depressive symptoms, functional limitations, diabetes, and urinary incontinence.     

Associations between Sarcopenic Obesity and Cognitive Impairment in Elderly Chinese Community-Dwelling Individuals

Introduction

This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of sarcopenic obesity (SO) and the association between cognitive impairment and SO in a cohort of elderly Chinese community-dwelling individuals.

Methods

A total of 948 elderly Chinese community-dwelling individuals aged 60–92 years were recruited. The participants were categorized into the following four groups according to their sarcopenia and obesity status: sarcopenic obese, sarcopenic, obese and non-sarcopenic, and non-obese group. Sarcopenia was defined as appendicular skeletal muscle index of <7.0 kg/m² in men and <5.7 kg/m² in women; obesity was defined as values greater than the upper two quintiles for body fat percentage stratified by gender of the study population; cognitive impairment was measured using the Mini-Mental State Examination and defined as a score of <24.

Results

A total of 945 participants were included in the statistical analyses with a mean age of 68.76 ± 6.50 years. The prevalence of SO was 6.0% (7.3% in men and 4.8% in women). The sarcopenic obese (odds ratio [OR]: 2.550, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.196-5.435) and obese (ORs: 2.141, 95% CI, 1.230-3.728) groups had significantly increased risk for cognitive impairment in fully adjusted model, respectively.

Conclusion

The SO prevalence in elderly Chinese community-dwelling individuals was relatively low (6.0%). The present study suggested SO was independently associated with cognitive impairment.

     

The construction of a patient record-based risk model for recurrent falls among elderly people living in the community

BACKGROUND: Predictive models of fall risk in the elderly living in the community may contribute to the identification of elderly at risk for recurrent falling. OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to investigate occurrence, determinants and health consequences of falls in a community-dwelling elderly population and the contribution of data from patient records to a risk model of recurrent falls. METHODS: A population survey was carried out using a postal questionnaire. The questionnaire on occurrence, determinants and health consequences of falls was sent to 2744 elderly persons of 70 years and over, registered in four general practices (n = 27 000). Data were analysed by bivariate techniques and logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 1660 (60%) responded. Falls (> or =1 fall) in the previous year were reported by 44%: one-off falls by 25% and recurrent falls (> or =2 falls) by 19%. Women had significantly more falls than men. Major injury was reported by 8% of the fallers; minor injury by 49%. Treatment of injuries was by the GP in 67% of cases. From logistic regression, a risk model for recurrent falls, consisting of the risk factors female gender, age 80 years or over, presence of a chronic neurological disorder, use of antidepressants, problems of balance and sense organs and complaints of muscles and joints was developed. The model predicted recurrent falls with a sensitivity of 64%, a specificity of 71%, a positive predictive value of 42% and a negative predictive value of 86%. CONCLUSION: A risk model consisting of six variables usually known to the GP from the patient records may be a useful tool in the identification of elderly people living in the community at risk for recurrent falls.     

Prediction of complicated urinary tract infections in patients with type 2 diabetes: a questionnaire study in primary care

Background Relatively few data are available to predict a complicated course of community-acquired complicated urinary tract infections (UTIs) in patients with diabetes type 2 (DM2). The aim of this study was to assess predictors for a complicated course of UTIs in DM2 patients in primary care. Method We conducted a cross-sectional questionnaire study among DM2 patients aged over 45 years as part of an educational trial. The combined outcome measure was a complicated course of UTI, defined as a self-reported episode of acute pyelonephritis, prostatitis or recurrent cystitis in the 12 months before the trial. Patients with an outcome were all verified by review of medical records. A prediction model was derived with multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results Of the 1151 trial participants, 94 (8%) had a self-reported community-acquired complicated course of UTIs and 62 (66%) of these were medically-attended. Independent predictors for a complicated course were age above 60 years (adjusted odds ratio (OR): 1.74; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.99–3.03), chronic use of antibiotics (adjusted OR: 5.50; 95% CI: 2.31–13.08), more than 6 physician contacts in previous year (adjusted OR: 3.60; 95% CI: 2.00–6.49), hospitalization in previous year (adjusted OR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.00–1.85), renal disease (adjusted OR: 4.92; 95% CI: 1.59–15.18) and incontinence of urine (adjusted OR: 3.78; 95% CI: 1.93–7.38). Area under the receiver-operating curve was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66–0.78). Analysis according to medically attended complicated UTIs did not change our findings. Conclusion Easily obtainable predictors from medical history can be used to accurately predict a complicated course of UTIs in DM2 patients.     

Fall-related factors in a cohort of elderly community residents

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated to fall and recurrent fall episodes among elderly living in a community, and to determine the relative risk of each factor as a fall predictor. METHODS: A two-year follow-up study with two segments of multi-dimensional household surveys (1991-1992 and 1994-1995) was carried out in a cohort of 1,667 elderly, aged 65 or older, living in a community in the city of S?o Paulo, Brazil. The instrument used for data collection was the BOMFAQ, the Brazilian version of the Multidimensional Functional Assessment Questionnaire (OARS). A stepwise logistic regression analysis was conducted with p<0.05 and 95% CI. RESULTS: About 31% of the elderly referred a fall episode and around 11% referred two or more fall episodes in the previous year of the first survey. After follow-up, 53.4% didn't refer any fall episodes, 32.7% referred a fall episode either in the first survey or in the second one and almost 14% referred fall episodes in both surveys. The predictive model of recurrent falls was composed by the following variables: absence of a spouse (OR=1.59 95% CI 1.00-2.52), not having a reading habit (OR= 1.56 95% CI 1.03-2.37), history of fractures (OR=4.6 95% CI 2.23-9.69 difficulty to perform one to three activities of daily life (OR=2.37 95% CI 1.49-3.78), difficulty to perform four or more activities of daily life (OR=3.31 95%CI 1.58-6.93) and among those whose sight is most impaired (OR=1.53 95%CI 1.00-2.34). CONCLUSIONS: Population ageing and increase in life expectancy demand preventive and rehabilitation actions in order to reduce risk factors for falls, such as impaired functional capacity, impaired eye sight and lack of cognitive stimulation.     

老年患者导尿管相关尿路感染风险预测评分模型构建与验证

目的构建老年患者导尿管相关尿路感染(CAUTI)风险预测评分模型,为筛选高危人群,有效预防与控制老年患者泌尿系统感染提供依据。方法采用回顾性研究方法,收集2015年1月1日—2017年11月30日住院期间曾留置导尿管的老年患者病历资料(2015—2016年数据作为建模组,2017年数据作为验证组),构建logistic回归模型进行危险因素分析,根据OR值赋予各危险因素相应的分值,建立感染风险评分模型,利用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价模型的预测效果。依据建立的感染风险评分模型对验证组病例进行评分,利用ROC曲线评价模型的预测效果。结果 logistic回归分析结果表明,年龄(≥80岁)、肾功能障碍、联用抗菌药物、特殊类抗菌药物使用天数(≥15 d)、术后住院时间(≥15 d)、导尿管置管天数(≥7 d)是老年患者发生CAUTI的独立危险因素,风险评分模型中相应的分值分别为3、3、3、5、7、9分。评分15分为高风险人群,评分模型在建模组数据中的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.91(95%CI:0.90～0.93,P0.05),灵敏度84.8%,特异度85.3%。依据验证组患者风险得分情况绘制ROC曲线,AUC为0.92(95%CI:0.88～0.95,P0.05),灵敏度84.7%,特异度86.6%。结论建立的风险评分模型在建模组和验证组均具有较好的判别效度,可用于识别老年患者CAUTI易感高危人群,以期早期预防与控制。     

Association of executive function impairment, history of falls and physical performance in older adults: A cross-sectional population-based study in Eastern France

Objective

To estimate: 1) the association between executive function (EF) impairment and falls; and 2) the association of EF impairment on tests of physical function used in the evaluation of fall risk.

Design

Cross-sectional study.

Setting

Thirteen health examination centres in Eastern France.

Participants

Four thousand four hundred and eighty one community-dwelling older adults without dementia aged 65 to 97 years (mean age 71.8±5.4, women 47.6%).

Measurements

Participants underwent a comprehensive medical assessment that included evaluations of EF using the Clock Drawing Test and of physical performance using the Timed Up & Go Test (TUG). Analysis used multivariable modified Poisson regression to evaluate the association between impaired EF and each of the fall outcomes (any fall, recurrent falls, fall-related injuries). Multivariable linear regression was used to evaluate the association between EF impairment and performance on the TUG and grip strength.

Results

EF impairment, assessed using the clock drawing test, was present in 24.9% of participants. EF impairment was independently associated with an increased risk of any fall (RR=1.13, 95% CI (1.03, 1.25)) and major soft tissue fall-related injury (RR= 2.42, 95% CI (1.47, 4.00)). Additionally, EF impairment was associated with worse performance on the TUG (p<0.0001).

Conclusions

EF impairment among older adults without dementia was highly prevalent and was independently associated with an increased risk for falls, fall-related injuries and with decreased physical function. The use of the Clock Drawing Test is an easy to administer measure of EF that can be used routinely in comprehensive fall risk evaluations.