Validation of PATHFx 2.0: An open-source tool for estimating survival in patients undergoing pathologic fracture fixation

Treatment decisions in patients with metastatic bone disease rely on accurate survival estimation. We developed the original PATHFx models using expensive, proprietary software and now seek to provide a more cost-effective solution. Using open-source machine learning software to create PATHFx version 2.0, we asked whether PATHFx 2.0 could be created using open-source methods and externally validated in two unique patient populations. The training set of a well-characterized, database records of 189 patients and the bnlearn package within R Version 3.5.1 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing), was used to establish a series of Bayesian belief network models designed to predict survival at 1, 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. Each was externally validated in both a Scandinavian (n = 815 patients) and a Japanese (n = 261 patients) data set. Brier scores and receiver operating characteristic curves to assessed discriminatory ability. Decision curve analysis (DCA) evaluated whether models should be used clinically. DCA showed that the model should be used clinically at all time points in the Scandinavian data set. For the 1-month time point, DCA of the Japanese data set suggested to expect better outcomes assuming all patients will survive greater than 1 month. Brier scores for each curve demonstrate that the models are accurate at each time point. Statement of Clinical Significance: we successfully transitioned to PATHFx 2.0 using open-source software and externally validated it in two unique patient populations, which can be used as a cost-effective option to guide surgical decisions in patients with metastatic bone disease.     

改革开放以来中医药文化发展的演进与特点探析＊

中医药文化是中医药事业发展的根基和灵魂，社会主义文化建设的重要组成。本文考察改革开放40年以来中医药文化发展的演进过程，从“社会矛盾—政策方针—中医药文化发展”的中观视角，构建了中医药文化发展分析模型，发现中医药文化先后经历了资产化发展（1978年-21世纪初）、情景化发展（21世纪初-中国共产党第十八次全国代表大会（中共十八大）前后）、生态化发展（中共十八大至今）三个阶段，每个阶段中医药文化发展的策略、重点和面临的问题具有明显的不同特点。因此，本文提出以社会矛盾为导向，优化政策引导，构建中医药文化生态体系，从个人、社会和国家发展的不同层面采取多元双向发展路径，推进健康中国发展，提升文化自信，打造文化强国。     

芪地固肾方治疗特发性膜性肾病的临床分析

目的:回顾性分析芪地固肾方治疗特发性膜性肾病(IMN)的临床疗效与安全性。方法:选取2014年1月至2017年6月陕西中医药大学附属医院肾病科门诊及住院IMN患者141例,根据用药方案分为西药组(西药标准疗法)、中西药结合组(芪地固肾方+西药标准疗法)和中药组(芪地固肾方)3组各47例,观察3组患者治疗后临床疗效、复发率及不良反应等。结果:治疗6个月后,中西药结合组和西药组总有效率72.34%、68.09%高于中药组,治疗12个月时3组有效率比较差异无统计学意义,治疗18个月后中药组和中西药结合组总有效率75.76%、78.72%高于西药组。中药组和中西药结合组在治疗12个月和18个月后较西药组在提高中医证候疗效、减少中医证候积分上更具优势。中药组和中西药结合组复发率更低,3组均未出现严重不良反应。结论:芪地固肾方能提高IMN缓解率,在提高中医证候疗效、降低复发率上更具优势,远期疗效可观,值得进一步推广应用。     

运用六经辨证治疗子嗽探析

妊娠期间,咳嗽不已,称"妊娠咳嗽",亦称"子嗽",孕妇咳嗽日久未见好转,咳嗽胸痛甚则咳而呕吐,或咳嗽剧烈或久咳不愈,可损伤胎气,导致堕胎、小产。笔者运用六经辨证治疗外感型中表寒里热证子嗽,认为此类患者病在太阳阳明,属于寒热错杂之表寒里热,采用《伤寒论》中方证麻杏甘石汤合止嗽散,使热从外泄,宣发卫气,散寒不助热、解表不伤正,故辨证论治取得了显著的疗效。同时子嗽治疗还需注意健脾固肾安胎,应将顾护胎元贯穿治疗妊娠咳嗽的始终。     

替考拉宁在中国成人患者中的群体药动学研究

目的建立中国成年患者的替考拉宁(teicoplanin,TEC)群体药动学(population pharmacokinetics,PPK)模型,考察TEC药动学参数的影响因素。方法前瞻性收集139例革兰阳性球菌感染患者静脉注射TEC后的222份常规监测血药浓度和相关信息,采用一级消除的一室模型进行数据拟合,并应用非线性混合效应模型(nonlinear mixed effect model,NONMEM)程序建立PPK模型。采用Bootstrap、正态预测分布误差法(normalized predictive distribution error,NPDE)进行最终模型评价。利用蒙特卡洛模拟法对给药方案进行优化。结果确定了肌酐清除率(creatinine clearance,CLcr)、白蛋白(albumin,ALB)为影响TEC清除率的主要因素。最终模型为:CL(L·h^-1)=1.24×(CLcr/77)0.564×31/ALB;V(L)=69.2。验证表明,模型稳定、有效,且有较好的预测效能。对于不同ALB和CLcr的多数患者起始负荷剂量400 mg/q12h,iv,3次,维持剂量400~800 mg·d^-1的给药方案可达有效治疗谷浓度。严重感染者需调整负荷剂量至800 mg/q12h,iv,3次,维持剂量400~800 mg·d^-1的给药方案来确保血药浓度达到15 mg·L^-1以上。结论本实验报道了CLcr、ALB对TEC清除率有显著影响,所建模型对TEC在中国成人患者中实现个体化给药具有重要应用价值。     

外周血miR-150-5p、SOCS1 mRNA对类风湿关节炎“病”“证”诊断意义的初步探讨＊

目的 探讨类风湿关节炎患者外周血miR-150-5p、细胞因子信号抑制因子1（suppressor of cytokine signaling 1，SOCS1）mRNA的表达及对类风湿关节炎（Rheumatoid Arthritis，RA）疾病诊断、中医证型判断的意义。方法 纳入符合诊断标准的RA患者57例及健康对照组19例，根据《22个专业95个病种中医诊疗方案》有关RA的中医证候诊断标准，判断RA的中医证型。qPCR检测RA患者及健康对照组miR-150-5p、SOCS1mRNA的相对表达水平，同时检测血常规、肝功能、肾功能等常规指标。双荧光素酶分析方法判断两者是否存在靶向关系。统计分析miR-150-5p、SOCS1 mRNA对RA疾病的诊断意义及其与中医证型的相关性。结果 RA患者外周血miR-150-5p的相对表达水平下调，低于正常人群（t = -19.019，P < 0.05）；其表达水平随疾病活动度升高，有下降趋势；患者外周血SOCS1 mRNA的相对表达水平上调，低于正常人群（t = 5.333，P < 0.05）；其表达水平随疾病活动度升高，有上升趋势。MiR-150-5p与SOCS1 mRNA有靶向结合关系（P < 0.05）。通过AUC曲线比较，miR-150-5p的相对表达水平区分RA的敏感性及特异性分别为98.1%、92.1%（AUC = 0.972，P < 0.05）；SOCS1 mRNA的相对表达水平无法区分RA（AUC = 0.472，P > 0.05）。RA患者中miR-150-5p的相对表达水平低于3.06，RA患者风湿痹阻证、寒湿痹阻证的相对风险分别为8.33、250.00（P < 0.05）。结论 miR-150-5p、SOCS1 mRNA在RA患者中有差异性表达，且有靶向结合关系。miR-150-5p可能是RA的疾病诊断及中医风湿痹阻证、寒湿痹阻证证型诊断的潜在生物标志物。     

C.B‐17 SCID mice develop epicardial calcinosis with unaltered cardiac function

Inbred mouse strains are the most widely used mammalian model organism in biomedical research owing to ease of genetic manipulation and short lifespan; however, each inbred strain possesses a unique repertoire of deleterious homozygous alleles that can make a specific strain more susceptible to a particular disease. In the current study, we report dystrophic cardiac calcinosis (DCC) in C.B‐17 SCID male mice at 10 weeks of age with no significant change in cardiac function. Acquisition of DCC was characterized by myocardial injury, fibrosis, calcification, and necrosis of the tissue. At 10 weeks of age, 38% of the C.B‐17 SCID mice from two different commercial colonies exhibited significant calcinosis on the ventricular epicardium, predominantly on the right ventricle. The frequency of calcinosis was more than 50% for mice obtained from Taconic's Cambridge City colony and 25% for mice obtained from Taconic's German Town colony. Interestingly, the DCC phenotype did not affect cardiac function at 10 weeks of age. No differences in echocardiography or electrocardiography were observed between the calcinotic and non‐calcinotic mice from either colony. Our findings suggest that C.B‐17 SCID mice exhibit DCC as early as 10 weeks of age with no significant impact on cardiac function. This strain of mice should be cautiously considered for the study of cardiac physiology.     

依维莫司联合全反式维甲酸逆转急性早幼粒细胞白血病细胞耐药的研究

目的探讨依维莫司联合全反式维甲酸(简称维甲酸)逆转急性早幼粒细胞白血病(APL)细胞株NB4-R1耐药的作用。方法应用CD11b染色流式细胞术及硝基四唑氮蓝(NBT)还原实验检测两药联合应用对细胞分化的影响, 流式细胞术检测细胞周期情况, Annexin V/PI双染色检测细胞凋亡情况, 蛋白质印迹法检测自噬相关蛋白微管结合蛋白轻链3(LC3)、Beclin 1及早幼粒白血病-维甲酸受体融合蛋白(PML-RARα)、磷酸化核糖体S6激酶(P-P70S6K)、磷酸化4E结合蛋白1(P-4E-BP1) 等表达水平。结果与维甲酸组比较, 联用组能诱导耐药细胞株NB4-R1细胞的分化, 并将细胞增殖阻止在G ₁期而对细胞凋亡无明显影响。100 nmol/L依维莫司组、1μmol/L维甲酸组、联用组、对照组NB4-R1细胞培养48 h后分化百分率分别为(2.29±0.57)%、(17.06±2.65)%、(54.47±4.91)%、(2.54±0.53)%; 处于G ₁期的细胞百分率分别为(35.20±11.97)%、(33.54±6.25)%、(53.70±8.73)%、(27.40±6.01)%; 四组细胞凋亡细胞百分率分别为(2.30±0.14)%、(2.25±0.21)%、(2.40±0.28)%、(1.95±0.07)%。与维甲酸组比较, 联用组mTOR信号通路下游的P70S6K、4E-BP1分子磷酸化水平下降, LC3-II和Beclin 1的表达上调, 且能部分降解融合蛋白PML-RARα。 结论依维莫司联合维甲酸能诱导NB4-R1细胞分化, 且能阻滞细胞周期而不致细胞凋亡, 其机制可能与依维莫司联合维甲酸抑制mTOR信号通路激活自噬作用从而降解PML-RARα蛋白有关。