Economic Evaluation of Factorial Trials: Cost-Utility Analysis of the Atorvastatin in Factorial With Omega EE90 Risk Reduction in Diabetes 2 × 2 × 2 Factorial Trial of Atorvastatin,Omega-3 Fish Oil,and Action Planning

ObjectivesWe applied principles for conducting economic evaluations of factorial trials to a trial-based economic evaluation of a cluster-randomized 2 × 2 × 2 factorial trial. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of atorvastatin, omega-3 fish oil, and an action-planning leaflet, alone and in combination, from a UK National Health Service perspective.MethodsThe Atorvastatin in Factorial With Omega EE90 Risk Reduction in Diabetes (AFORRD) Trial randomized 800 patients with type 2 diabetes to atorvastatin, omega-3, or their respective placebos and randomized general practices to receive a leaflet-based action-planning intervention designed to improve compliance or standard care. The trial was conducted at 59 UK general practices. Sixteen-week outcomes for each trial participant were extrapolated for 70 years using the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study Outcomes Model v2.01. We analyzed the trial as a 2 × 2 factorial trial (ignoring interactions between action-planning leaflet and medication), as a 2 × 2 × 2 factorial trial (considering all interactions), and ignoring all interactions.ResultsWe observed several qualitative interactions for costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) that changed treatment rankings. However, different approaches to analyzing the factorial design did not change the conclusions. There was a ≥99% chance that atorvastatin is cost-effective and omega-3 is not, at a £20 000/QALY threshold.ConclusionsAtorvastatin monotherapy was the most cost-effective combination of the 3 trial interventions at a £20 000/QALY threshold. Omega-3 fish oil was not cost-effective, while there was insufficient evidence to draw firm conclusions about action planning. Recently-developed methods for analyzing factorial trials and combining parameter and sampling uncertainty were extended to estimate cost-effectiveness acceptability curves within a 2x2x2 factorial design with model-based extrapolation.     

ELAM-1在鼻咽癌裸鼠移植瘤中的表达及其与转移的关系

目的 建立裸鼠鼻咽癌转移模型并探讨 E-选择素（ELAM-1）与鼻咽癌转移的相关性。方法 将鼻咽癌5-8F细胞悬液注射于裸鼠左后肢爪垫，观察裸鼠状态、成瘤情况并测量裸鼠体重及移植瘤长短径；采用连续病理切片苏木精-伊红染色观察移植瘤及转移情况，将16只人鼻咽癌荷瘤裸鼠分为转移组和非转移组；采用免疫组织化学法检测两组移植瘤组织中ELAM-1的表达。 结果 16只裸鼠均成瘤，成瘤率为100.0%，其中10只裸鼠出现转移瘤，转移率为62.5%。建模前，两组裸鼠体重差异无统计学意义［（13.83±0.56）g vs （14.62±0.30） g，t=1.026，P=0.071］。建模后4~7周，裸鼠瘤体体积呈指数增长，且转移组移植瘤增长速度较非转移组快，非转移组裸鼠瘤体体积小于转移组［（198.91 ± 163.29） mm³ vs （268.76 ±174.31） mm³，t=4.376，P=0.005］。ELAM-1在鼻咽癌裸鼠移植瘤、淋巴结转移灶及远处转移灶中的表达均为阳性，主要表达于细胞膜。转移组移植瘤光密度值高于非转移组（0.4497±0.0705 vs 0.0435±0.0082，t=4.388，P＝0.001）。结论 本研究成功构建稳定性好、转移率高的鼻咽癌裸鼠移植瘤转移模型，且ELAM-1在裸鼠移植瘤中高表达，可促进鼻咽癌裸鼠移植瘤生长和转移。     

大病保险对我国中老年人家庭灾难性卫生支出影响实证分析

目的:考察大病保险对我国中老年人家庭灾难性卫生支出的影响,为完善我国大病保险制度提供建议。方法:以中国健康与养老追踪调查数据库(2011年与2015年)中45岁及以上的城乡中老年人家庭作为研究对象,利用描述性统计法和两部模型法分析大病保险对我国中老年人家庭灾难性卫生支出的影响。结果:目前的大病保险政策从总体上降低了中老年人家庭灾难性卫生支出的发生率,但没有显著降低其发生强度。结论:目前的大病保险并未达到其预期的效果,只是解决了"面"的问题,从总体上降低了灾难性卫生支出发生的可能性,但并没有解决"点"的问题,没有有效降低其大额的医疗卫生支出进而减少其医疗经济负担。建议各地各级政府相关部门应进一步完善大病保险制度,从而真正有效减轻居民重大疾病医疗经济负担。     

前后挤压型骶骨Ⅱ区骨折与骶丛神经损伤的关系

目的 探讨前后挤压致骶骨Ⅱ区骨折造成骶丛神经损伤的机制。方法 经甲醛短期（1年内）浸泡固定的国人尸体6具，12侧。解剖保护骶丛神经，制成前后挤压型暴力致骶Ⅱ区骨折模型，定量测量不同骨折移位时骶丛神经被拉长的距离。另外，利用X线片观察骶从神经受压情况。结果 随耻骨联合分离逐渐增大，骶丛神经张应变呈直线相关逐渐加大，以S1，S4为最显著，且可造成神经的刺伤，多见于L5和S1，X线未发现骶丛神经受压表现。结论 前后挤压型暴力致骶骨Ⅱ区骨折神经损伤以牵拉伤为丰，以S1，S4为主，且与骨折移位程度成正相关关系。神经的刺伤，多见于骨折移位较大的L5和S1。     

盐酸氟西汀对抑郁症模型小鼠神经肽Y表达的研究

目的 探讨盐酸氟西汀对慢性应激抑郁症模型小鼠下丘脑神经肽Y（NPY）的表达影响。方法 采用旷场试验（Open-Field）法，比较抑郁症模型小鼠与正常对照组行为学改变方面的差异。将慢性应激抑郁症小鼠模型随机分成盐酸氟西汀和阿米替林治疗组、模型对照组，同时设立空白对照组，利用半定量逆转录．聚合酶联反应（RT-PCR）法、细胞酶联免疫法和蛋白免疫印迹（Western-blot）技术，比较试验组小鼠下丘脑NPY的表达变化。结果 （1）与正常组比较，模型组在总路程缩短、活动斑数减少和体重增加幅度下降等方面具有显著性差异。（2）与正常组比较，抑郁症模型组下丘脑NPY的mRNA表迭下降。（3）经过3周的治疗，盐酸氟西汀组和阿米替林组小鼠下丘脑NPY的mRNA及蛋白表达没有明显差别，但是两组的表达结果显著高于模型对照组，与空白对照组的结果接近。结论 脑内NPY的mRNA及蛋白的表达增加可能是盐酸氟西汀治疗抑郁症小鼠的机制之一。     

Baseline immune activation as a risk factor for the onset of depression during interferon-alpha treatment.

BACKGROUND: Major depression has been associated cross-sectionally with increased cell-mediated immune activation but causality has been difficult to establish. This study prospectively investigated the hypothesis that baseline level of immune activation predicts the development of depression during interferon-alpha (IFN-alpha) treatment. METHODS: Sixteen hepatitis C patients without psychiatric disorder underwent IFN-alpha treatment. Proinflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines were determined before starting treatment. Presence of a major depressive disorder (MDD) was assessed at baseline and several times during treatment. RESULTS: Baseline soluble interleukin-2 receptor (sIL-2r), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and interleukin-10 (IL-10) concentrations were significantly increased in the five subjects that developed MDD during treatment compared with those that did not, with standardized effect sizes of 1.08, 1.16, and 1.25, respectively, controlling for marijuana use, cigarette smoking, and baseline level of depressive symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that increased immune activation, rather than an epiphenomenon, is a causal risk factor for the development of MDD.     

胰胆管合流异常动物模型的建立

目的建立胰胆管合流异常的动物模型。方法选用健康杂种猫10只。术前禁食12 h,3.5%戊巴比妥钠麻醉后,取上腹正中切口约6 cm切开各层至腹腔。于胆总管入十二指肠处旁边,切开胰腺背膜,解剖胰管;靠近十二指肠处分别纵向切开胰管、胆管长约4~6 mm的切口。6-0线间断吻合切口,造成类似人类的胰胆管合流的共同通道。术后20天胆道造影。结果术后动物精神、食欲良好,无萎靡、烦燥等表现,造影显示胰胆管合流共同通道延长。结论本动物模型最接近于人类的胰胆管合流异常生理,优于其他动物模型。     

肝移植术后糖尿病危险因素分析

目的 探讨肝移植术后糖尿病（PTDM）的发生及发展的危险因素。方法 回顾性分析98例肝移植受者的临床资料。根据其肝移植术后是否发生糖尿病，分为糖尿病组（36例）和非糖尿病组（62例）。以术前和术后可能的9个危险因素作为分析指标，进行这些指标的单因素分析和χ^2检验。结果 在对两组患者的年龄、乙型肝炎病毒（HBV）感染情况、有无肝硬化及肝硬化的程度、术前糖耐量情况、免疫抑制剂的选择及其血药浓度、激素的使用时间的比较分析中发现：术前肝硬化患者PTDM的发生率明显高于无肝硬化者；肝硬化失代偿期患者PTDM的发生率高于代偿期。术前糖耐量异常的患者PTDM的发生率明显高于糖耐量正常者。激素半年内撤离的患者PTDM的发生率明显低于半年内未撤离者。而两组患者的年龄、HBV的感染情况、免疫抑制剂的选择及其血药浓度相比较，差异均无统计学差异。结论 肝硬化、尤其是肝硬化失代偿期，糖耐量异常，长期使用激素是PTDM发生的危险因素。     

Framing the child at risk

Risk Assessment Reports are one form of accounting practice which delineate the space of risk considered in a child abuse neglect investigation. The paper analyses two Risk Assessment Reports, contrasting what is reported, what is directly observed and what is hypothesized and implied by child protection practitioners during the assessment of risk. From an analysis of these two reports (each 4 – 5 pages long), the paper identifies the rhetorical strategies and their realizations used by two practitioners in framing the child at risk. The paper problematizes the tension between the institutional need to constrain the exercise of professional judgement through Risk Assessment Models, and the extent to which practitioners actually localize the framing of risk to specific areas of investigation.