大数据环境下分析2015-2019年宜昌市城区居民急性心肌梗死发生的流行趋势

目的了解宜昌市城区居民急性心肌梗死(Acute Myocardial Infarction,AMI)的流行特征,为制定有针对性的防治工作提供依据。方法利用宜昌市健康大数据平台2015—2019年监测数据,采用年估计百分比评价AMI的发病率、死亡率变化趋势。结果2015—2019年宜昌市AMI新发病例1976人,粗发病率41.96/10万,标化死亡率87.52/10万,男性AMI粗发病率为57.69/10万,女性粗发病率为29.84/10万,差异有统计学意义(χ²=15.76,P<0.001);2015—2019年急性心肌梗死死亡1838人,粗死亡率39.03/10万,标化死亡率27.27/10万,男性AMI粗死亡率为44.03/10万,女性粗死亡率为3.39/10万,差异有统计学意义(χ²=45.65,P<0.001),男性、女性AMI发病率、死亡率均随年龄增长而增加。结论2015—2019年宜昌市AMI急性心肌梗死发病率处于全国中等偏低水平,死亡率高于全国平均水平,发病率呈现一定的上升趋势,其中男性、≥60岁的老年人情况更为严重,应针对不同人群,采取相应干预措施,减少AMI的发生。     

新型冠状病毒肺炎患者死亡风险列线图模型的构建与验证

目的构建列线图模型以预测新型冠状病毒病2019(COVID-19)的死亡风险,以早期筛选死亡高危患者。 方法收集2020年1月至2020年4月武汉大学人民医院(东院)和2022年4月至2022年5月上海市第九人民医院(北院)收治COVID-19患者的临床资料。以武汉大学人民医院患者(166例)作为训练集,上海市第九人民医院患者(52例)作为验证集。采用先单因素后多因素Logistic回归分析确定死亡的独立危险因素,应用R语言构建列线图模型。采用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)、C指数及校准曲线评估列线图模型的预测准确性及判断能力,决策曲线分析评估模型的临床应用价值。通过验证集对模型进行外部验证。 结果本研究共纳入重型/危重型COVID-19患者218例,其中67例(30.73%)死亡,多因素Logistic回归分析显示,≥3种基础疾病、APACHE Ⅱ评分(5~40分)、中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞(0~90)、乳酸(0~16mmol/L)均是死亡的独立危险因素。ROC曲线分析显示,训练集的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.869(95%CI：0.811~0.927),验证集AUC为0.797(95%CI：0.671~0.924),训练集与验证集校准曲线经Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验(P＝0.473,P＝0.421)。临床决策曲线分析表明,该列线图预测模型的临床应用价值高。 结论本研究构建COVID-19患者死亡风险列线图模型预测效能良好,可个体化、可视化、图形化预测,有助于医师早期做出合适临床决策及诊疗。     

Lower Dietary Calcium Intake is Associated with a Higher Risk of Mortality in Korean Adults

BackgroundCalcium, one of the most abundant minerals in the human body, has a pivotal role in human physiology. However, only a few studies have examined the association of dietary calcium intake with mortality in a population with low calcium intake.ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to examine the association of dietary calcium intake with risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality among Korean adults with low calcium intake.DesignThis study was a prospective cohort study.Participants/settingThe analysis was conducted using data from 44,327 eligible Korean adults aged 19 years and older who participated in the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007-2015. Dietary calcium intake was assessed using 1-day 24-hour recall data.Main outcome measuresThe main outcomes of this study were mortality from all causes, cancer, cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, and all other causes combined. The outcome was ascertained through linkage to the death registry compiled by Statistics Korea with the use of the resident registration number.Statistical analyses performedWeighted Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratios and 95% CIs of the all-cause and cause-specific mortality according to dietary calcium intake.ResultsDuring a mean follow-up of 7.28 person-years, 1,889 deaths were ascertained. After multivariable adjustment, the hazard ratios for all-cause mortality for the second quintile to the highest quintile of dietary calcium intake, respectively, compared with the first quintile were 0.86 (95% CI 0.73 to 1.00), 0.82 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.98), 0.85 (95% CI 0.69 to 1.03), and 0.78 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.96) (P for trend from the lowest to the highest quintile = .04). There were no statistically significant associations between dietary calcium intake and risk of mortality from cancer, cardiovascular, or respiratory disease.ConclusionsIn this large prospective cohort study of Korean adults, lower dietary calcium intake was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality.     

儿内科5年住院死亡504例的分析

目的 为降低儿童疾病的死亡率,评估其死因,以提高诊断质量。方法 回顾性分析1993－1997年儿科病房死亡例数,根据各年龄分段进行统计处理,采用X^2检验;比较和分析各年龄组死亡病例的病种分布。结果 儿童死亡率呈逐年下降趋势且有显著性差异（P＜0．005）,年度间新生儿死亡率显著性差异（P＞0．05）。引起各年龄组死亡原因各不相同,新生儿、婴儿、幼儿、学龄前及学龄组的首位死因分别为窒息、肺炎、颅内感染、血液病。结论 了解不同年龄阶段的死因频顺位及好发疾病,有助于提高诊疗质量。     

特重型颅脑伤影响预后因素的分析

目的：研究特重型颅脑伤影响预后的因素,方法：在69例特重型颅脑损伤（GCS3－5分）的患者中分析了着力部位,年龄,伤型,血糖,高热等与死亡率的关系,结果和结论：特重型颅脑损伤死亡率69．66％,发现后枕部着力是造成特重型颅脑伤最常见的致伤方式,年龄越大死亡率越高,多发血肿合并脑挫裂伤,高血糖,高热,脑疝形成等均显著增加死亡率,呼吸道感染是引起后期患者死亡的最重要因素。     

Trends in burn injury mortality in Spain (1979–2018): Sex-specific age-cohort-period effects

BackgroundPrevious studies about burns mortality are often exclusively based on hospital and burn centre data. National population-based reports on this topic are rather limited. The aim of this study was to analyse sex- and age-specific mortality rates of burns in Spain during the period 1979–2018.MethodsAge-standardised burns mortality rates were calculated from death records and mid-year population data were provided by the Spanish National Statistics Institute. Joinpoint regression analyses were used to identify significant points of change in trends over time and to compute average annual per cent change (AAPC). Age, period and cohort effects were also analysed.ResultsMortality due to burn injury decreased in both sexes between 1979 and 2018: from the first quinquennium of this period up to the last one age-adjusted mortality rates decreased from 1.37 to 0.49 per 100,000 in men and from 0.96 to 0.26 per 100,000 in women.ConclusionsBurns mortality rates in Spain have been decreasing during the last decades. Promotion of primary prevention measures should continue.     

Unequal rates of postoperative complications in relatively healthy bariatric surgical patients of white and black race

BackgroundRacial disparities in postsurgical complications are often presumed to be due to a higher preoperative co-morbidity burden among patients of black race, although being relatively healthy is not a prerequisite for a complication-free postoperative course.ObjectivesTo examine the association of race with short-term postbariatric surgery complications in seemingly healthy patients.SettingsMetabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program database (2015–2018).MethodsWe studied a relatively healthy (American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status 1 or 2), propensity score–matched cohort of adult non-Hispanic black and non-Hispanic white bariatric surgery patients. We compared the risk-adjusted incidences of postoperative complications, serious adverse events, and measures of postoperative resource utilization across racial groups.ResultsWe identified 44,090 matched pairs of relatively healthy black and white bariatric surgery patients. Patients of black race were 72% more likely than those of white race to develop 1 or more postoperative complications (.7% versus .4%, respectively; odds ratio [OR], 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.32–2.24; P < .01). Measures of postbariatric resource utilization were significantly higher in patients of black race than those of white race, including unplanned reoperations (1.3% versus 1.0%, respectively; OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.07–1.52; P = .01), unplanned readmissions (4.5% versus 3.0%, respectively; OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.38–1.69; P < .01), unplanned interventions (1.6% versus 1.2%, respectively; OR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.16–1.60; P < .01), and extended hospital lengths of stay (51.2% versus 42.7%, respectively; OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.36–1.46; P < .01).ConclusionEven among relatively healthy patients, race appears to be an important determinant of postbariatric surgery complications and resource utilization. Research and interventions aimed at narrowing the racial disparities in bariatric surgery outcomes may need to broaden the focus beyond the racial variation in the preoperative co-morbidity burden.     

Psoas Muscle Density Evaluated by Chest CT and Long-Term Mortality in COPD Patients

RationalePoor muscle quality in COPD patients relates to exercise intolerance and mortality. Muscle quality can be estimated on computed tomography (CT) by estimating psoas density (PsD). We tested the hypothesis that PsD is lower in COPD patients than in controls and relates to all-cause mortality.MethodsAt baseline, PsD was measured using axial low-dose chest CT images in 220 COPD patients, 80% men, who were 65 ± 8 years old with mild to severe airflow limitation and in a control group of 58 subjects matched by age, sex, body mass index (BMI) and body surface area (BSA). COPD patients were prospectively followed for 76.5 (48–119) months. Anthropometrics, smoking history, BMI, dyspnoea, lung function, exercise capacity, BODE index and exacerbations history were recorded. Cox proportional risk analysis determined the factors more strongly associated with long-term mortality.ResultsPsD was lower in COPD patients than in controls (40.5 vs 42.5, p = 0.045). During the follow-up, 54 (24.5%) deaths occurred in the COPD group. PsD as well as age, sex, pack-year history, FEV₁%, 6MWD, mMRC, BODE index, were independently associated with mortality. Multivariate analysis showed that age (HR 1.06; 95% CI 1.02–1.12, p = 0.006) and CT-assessed PsD (HR 0.97; 95%CI 0.94–0.99, p = 0.023) were the variables independently associated with all-cause mortality.ConclusionsIn COPD patients with mild to severe airflow limitation, chest CT-assessed psoas muscle density was lower than in matched controls and independently associated with long-term mortality. Muscle quality using the easy to evaluate psoas muscle density from chest CT may provide clinicians with important prognostic information in COPD.