Predictive monitoring in neonates

Premature infants are physiologically immature and are particularly vulnerable to systemic illnesses. Instability of vital signs related to immaturity of organ systems are common but may also represent early manifestations of serious illness. While vital signs are frequently or continuously monitored in critically unwell neonates, changes in these parameters are subtle in the early phase of illness such as sepsis and difficult to interpret using traditional neonatal monitoring tools. Recent advances in identifying trends and patterns of vital signs in the pre-clinical phase of the illness, particularly in the field of heart rate characteristics monitoring has opened up the potential to improve outcomes through rapid and timely investigations and early intervention. This article reviews the current evidence in predictive monitoring of neonates and discusses potential clinical implications.     

Outcomes After Aortic Valve Replacement for Asymptomatic Severe Aortic Regurgitation and Normal Ejection Fraction

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可切除肺癌预后预测模型的构建及生存分析

目的 探讨构建的可切除肺癌预后预测模型在患者生存及预后预测中的价值。方法 选择山西省肿瘤医院2007年1月至2018年9月原发性肺癌患者2 267例,患者均行一次肺癌手术治疗,无第二原发肿瘤。选取性别、年龄、职业、肿瘤部位、病理类型、手术路径、手术方式、肿瘤分期、治疗方案为预后影响因素。采用Cox比例风险模型构建预后指数(PI)方程,计算每例患者的PI值。根据PI值的不同范围,划分低、中、高危预后组,对各组生存情况进行评估。结果 性别(RR=0.684,P=0.001)、年龄(RR=0.591,P<0.01)、职业(RR=1.439,P=0.001)、病理类型(RR=3.694,P<0.01)、手术路径(RR=0.734,P=0.001)、肿瘤分期(RR=0.352,P=0.007)为可切除肺癌患者预后独立影响因素。其中,女性、≤65岁、胸腔镜手术、肿瘤分期Ⅰ期为预后保护因素,其预后不良风险分别降低31.6%、40.9%、26.6%、64.8%;农民、腺鳞癌为预后危险因素,其预后不良风险分别增加43.9%、269.4%。PI方程为:∑βixi=-0.380 X1-0.526 X2+0.364 X31+1.307 X55-0.309 X6-1.045 X81(X1代表性别,X2代表年龄,X31代表职业为农民,X55代表病理类型为腺鳞癌,X6代表手术路径,X81代表肿瘤分期Ⅰ期)。PI<-1为低危组,PI≥-1且≤-0.5为中危组,PI>-0.5为高危组。1、3、5年生存率低危组分别为96.8%、87.0%、77.9%,中危组分别为91.8%、82.2%、61.7%,高危组分别为86.5%、61.7%、50.3%,各组间生存率差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论 可切除肺癌预后预测模型能够预测可切除肺癌患者的预后风险及相应生存率,帮助临床医师评估预后及制订后续治疗方案。     

International validation and update of the Amsterdam model for prediction of survival after pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer

BackgroundThe objective of this study was to validate and update the Amsterdam prediction model including tumor grade, lymph node ratio, margin status and adjuvant therapy, for prediction of overall survival (OS) after pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer.MethodsWe included consecutive patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer between 2000 and 2017 at 11 tertiary centers in 8 countries (USA, UK, Germany, Italy, Sweden, the Netherlands, Korea, Australia). Model performance for prediction of OS was evaluated by calibration statistics and Uno's C-statistic for discrimination. Validation followed the TRIPOD statement.ResultsOverall, 3081 patients (53% male, median age 66 years) were included with a median OS of 24 months, of whom 38% had N2 disease and 77% received adjuvant chemotherapy. Predictions of 3-year OS were fairly similar to observed OS with a calibration slope of 0.72. Statistical updating of the model resulted in an increase of the C-statistic from 0.63 to 0.65 (95% CI 0.64–0.65), ranging from 0.62 to 0.67 across different countries. The area under the curve for the prediction of 3-year OS was 0.71 after updating. Median OS was 36, 25 and 15 months for the low, intermediate and high risk group, respectively (P < 0.001).ConclusionsThis large international study validated and updated the Amsterdam model for survival prediction after pancreatoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer. The model incorporates readily available variables with a fairly accurate model performance and robustness across different countries, while novel markers may be added in the future. The risk groups and web-based calculator www.pancreascalculator.com may facilitate use in daily practice and future trials.     

Transarterial Chemoembolization vs Radioembolization for Neuroendocrine Liver Metastases: A Multi-Institutional Analysis

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Angiographic profile and outcomes in persistent non-valvular atrial fibrillation: A study from tertiary care center in North India

BackgroundThe relationship of atrial fibrillation (AF) with coronary artery disease (CAD) is well established, yet it is often missed. There is evidence of myocardial ischemia on stress imaging in AF patients in the absence of obstructive CAD. In this prospective cohort, we studied the angiographic profiles of non-valvular AF patients.MethodsThe study was a nonrandomized, prospective, single-center observational study of consecutive patients of persistent non-valvular AF. Patients symptomatic for AF despite optimal medical therapy for 3 months were recruited and all underwent coronary angiograms (CAG). Patients with prior history of CAD were excluded.ResultsA total of 70 patients were followed for a mean duration of 12 ± 1.4 months. The mean age of the study group was 66.07 (±11.49) years. Hypertension was the commonest comorbidity seen in 74% patients. Obstructive CAD was present in 32 (46%) patients, non-obstructive (<50% stenosis) CAD in 17 (24%) patients and normal coronaries in 21 (30%) patients. Overall 49 (70%) patients had evidence of CAD. Amongst patients without obstructive CAD, slow flow was seen in 16 (42%) patients. Lower baseline ejection fraction, lower haemoglobin & albumin levels and higher creatinine levels was associated with increased mortality. In patients without obstructive CAD, hospitalizations for fast ventricular rate were significantly increased in those having slow flow on CAG (p = 0.005).ConclusionsMajority (70%) of our patients had evidence of atherosclerotic CAD on CAG. A large proportion of patients without obstructive CAD had slow flow on CAG.     

Adjuvant chemotherapy could improve the survival of pulmonary sarcomatoid carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundComplete surgical removal is currently considered to be the best treatment option for pulmonary sarcomatoid carcinoma (PSC) especially in early stage operable disease; however, the reported recurrence-free survival is low. Benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy in PSC patients are still controversial, and there is no obvious agreement on the optimal treatment modalities of this disease. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the prognosis in terms of overall survival (OS) in patients with PSC who received adjuvant chemotherapy.MethodsThe review protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42022306084). Patients with PSC who underwent surgical therapy with or without adjuvant chemotherapy were included into the meta-analysis. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for OS were pooled and ROBINS-I tool was used to assess risk of bias of the included studies.ResultsWe identified four retrospective cohort studies with 6768 records from MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL databases up to 9th September 2021, and altogether 1835 patients were included to the analysis. The present meta-analysis shows that patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy had a significantly longer OS than patients who underwent surgical treatment alone (HR = 0.5657, 95%CI: 0.4391–0.7290, p < 0.0001).ConclusionsDespite the limited information on the chemotherapy regimens in the included studies, patients with PSC may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. More publications are required to evaluate and compare efficient adjuvant chemotherapy protocols in PSC cases.