多死因统计分析

本文应用由人口学家Manton,K.G 1976年提出的致死疾病衰老模型(Lethal-defectWearout Model)风险寿命表法对西安市碑林区1987～1988年居民死因进行多死因统计分析,并与传统的Chiang's单死因风险寿命表分析进行了比较。结果表明,在人口趋向老龄化,慢性退行性疾病日趋普遍的情况下,仍沿用单死因统计方法已显得不够合理,而多死因统计分析方法的应用则更具必要性。

Analysis of Multiple Causes of Death

In China, untill now the tabulation and analysis of mortality statistics are still based on single cause of death-the underlying cause of death, which has long been recognized as unsatisfactory, particularly in views of the increasing numbers of death from the chronic, degenerative diseases.The method used in the paper is the lethaldefect wear-out model proposed by Manton, KG in 1976 and the data were collected from a retrospective survey of all the decedents in Beilin district of Xian city during 1987 and 1988.Meanwhile, comparison was made between the Manton's model and the Chiang's model. Results showed that the former is more objective and reasonable.