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Glasgow Coma Scale score dominates the association between admission Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and 30-day mortality in a mixed intensive care unit population
Authors:Daniel B Knox  Michael J Lanspa  Cristina M Pratt  Kathryn G Kuttler  Jason P Jones  Samuel M Brown
Institution:1. Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT;2. Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, UT;3. Homer Warner Center for Informatics Research, Intermountain Healthcare, Murray, UT;4. Clinical Intelligence and Decision Support, Kaiser-Permanente Southern California Medical Group, Palm Desert, CA
Abstract:

Objective

The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, a measure of multiple-organ dysfunction syndrome, is used to predict mortality in critically ill patients by assigning equally weighted scores across 6 different organ systems. We hypothesized that specific organ systems would have a greater association with mortality than others.

Design

We retrospectively studied patients admitted over a period of 4.2 years to a mixed-profile intensive care unit (ICU). We recorded age and comorbidities, and calculated SOFA organ scores. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. We determined which organ subscores of the SOFA score were most associated with mortality using multiple analytic methods: random forests, conditional inference trees, distanced-based clustering techniques, and logistic regression.

Setting

A 24-bed mixed-profile adult ICU that cares for medical, surgical, and trauma (level 1) patients at an academic referral center.

Patients

All patients' first admission to the study ICU during the study period.

Measurements and Main Results

We identified 9120 first admissions during the study period. Overall 30-day mortality was 12%. Multiple analytical methods all demonstrated that the best initial prediction variables were age and the central nervous system SOFA subscore, which is determined solely by Glasgow Coma Scale score.

Conclusions

In a mixed population of critically ill patients, the Glasgow Coma Scale score dominates the association between admission SOFA score and 30-day mortality. Future research into outcomes from multiple-organ dysfunction may benefit from new models for measuring organ dysfunction with special attention to neurologic dysfunction.
Keywords:SOFA  Multiple-organ dysfunction  ICU  Outcomes  Random forests  Classification trees
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