Intratumoral Metabolic Heterogeneity for Prediction of Disease Progression After Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Inoperable Stage III Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

Purpose

We evaluated the value of variable ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT parameters for the prediction of disease progression after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with inoperable stage III non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods

One hundred sixteen pretreatment FDG PET/CT scans of inoperable stage III NSCLC were retrospectively reviewed (stage IIIA: 51; stage IIIB: 65). The volume of interest was automatically drawn for each primary lung tumor, and PET parameters were assessed as follows: maximum standardized uptake value (SUV_max), metabolic tumor volume (MTV) using the boundaries presenting SUV intensity exceeding 3.0, and the area under the curve of the cumulative SUV-volume histograms (AUC-CSH), which is known to reflect the tumor heterogeneity. Progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were compared with each PET and clinical parameters by univariate and multivariate survival analysis.

Results

In the ROC analysis, the optimal cutoff values of SUV_max, MTV (cm³), and AUC-CSH for prediction of PFS were determined as 21.5, 27.7, and 4,800, respectively. In univariate analysis, PFS was statistically significantly reduced in those with AUC-CSH?p?=?0.004). In multivariate analysis, AUC-CSH and SUV_max were statistically significant independent prognostic factors (HR 3.35, 95 % CI 1.79–6.28, p?p?=?0.008, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that AUC-CSH was the most significant independent prognostic factor for LRFS and DMFS (HR 3.27, 95 % CI 1.54–6.94, p?=?0.002; HR 2.79, 95 % CI 1.42–5.50, p?=?0.003).

Conclusions

Intratumoral metabolic heterogeneity of primary lung tumor in ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT can predict disease progression after CCRT in inoperable stage III NSCLC.