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Development and Validation of Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition for Prognostic Prediction in Patients Who Underwent Cardiac Surgery
Authors:Zhang Liu  Zile Shen  Wangfu Zang  Jian Zhou  Zhen Yu  Peng Zhang  Xialin Yan
Affiliation:1.Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai 200072, China; (Z.L.); (W.Z.); (J.Z.);2.Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Shanghai Tenth People’s Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai 200072, China; (Z.S.); (Z.Y.);3.Department of Colorectal Anal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
Abstract:The Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) has achieved a consensus for the diagnosis of malnutrition in recent years. This study aims to determine the prognostic effect of the GLIM after cardiac surgery. A total of 603 patients in the training cohort and 258 patients in the validation cohort were enrolled in this study. Perioperative characteristics and follow-up data were collected. A nomogram based on independent prognostic predictors was developed for survival prediction. In total, 114 (18.9%) and 48 (18.6%) patients were defined as being malnourished according to the GLIM criteria in the two cohorts, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis showed that GLIM-defined malnutrition was an independent risk factor of total complication (OR 1.661, 95% CI: 1.063–2.594) and overall survival (HR 2.339, 95% CI: 1.504–3.637). The c-index was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66–0.79) and AUC were 0.800, 0.798, and 0.780 for 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival prediction, respectively. The calibration curves of the nomogram fit well. In conclusion, GLIM criteria can efficiently identify malnutrition and has a prognostic effect on clinical outcomes after cardiac surgery. GLIM-based nomogram has favorable performance in survival prediction.
Keywords:Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition   cardiac surgery   nomogram   clinical outcomes
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