| 博山城镇肺癌死亡率时间序列分析及预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 翟慎永 吕健. 博山城镇肺癌死亡率时间序列分析及预测[J]. 中国慢性病预防与控制, 1994, 2(3): 106-107 |
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| 作者姓名： | 翟慎永 吕健 |
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| 作者单位： | 淄博市卫生防疫站 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文对博山城镇１９７７～１９８８年肺癌死亡率进行时间序列分析表明，自１９７７年以来其肺癌死亡率呈明显上升趋势。并应用灰色预测模型对肺癌死亡率进行了预测。为政府制订卫生发展战略，有计划地开展肺癌防治及其效果观察，提供了科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 肺癌，时间序列分析，灰色预测模型 |
THE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONOF LUNG CANCER MORTALITY IN BOSHAN |
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| Zhai Shen-yong et al. THE TIME SERIES ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONOF LUNG CANCER MORTALITY IN BOSHAN[J]. Chinese Journal of Prevention and Control of Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases, 1994, 2(3): 106-107 |
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| Authors: | Zhai Shen-yong et al |
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| Affiliation: | Zibo Epidemic Prevention Station |
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| Abstract: | The trends of lung cancer mortality in Boshan(1977-1988) were shown by time series analysis.Since 1977,themortality rates of lung cancer were increased significantly. Using gray prediction model,lung cancermortality was pre-dicted,It provides scientifec evidence for the government toformulate the strategy of hygiene development,to preventand cure lung cancer under planning and to survey the re-sults. |
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| Keywords: | Lung cancer Time series analysis Gray orediction model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
