Predictors of major bleeding in peri‐procedural anticoagulation management

Summary. Background: Appropriate periprocedural management for chronically anticoagulated patients requires assessment of patient‐specific thrombosis and bleeding risks. However, predictors of post‐procedure bleeding are unknown. Objectives: To determine the 3‐month cumulative incidence and independent predictors of peri‐procedural bleeding in chronically anticoagulated patients requiring temporary warfarin interruption for an invasive procedure. Methods: In a protocol driven, cohort study design, all patients referred to the Mayo Clinic Thrombophilia Center for peri‐procedural anticoagulation management (1997–2007; n = 2182), were followed forward in time to determine the 3‐month cumulative incidence of peri‐procedural bleeding (Kaplan–Meier product limit) and potential predictors of bleeding (Cox proportional hazards). Decisions to ‘bridge’ with low‐molecular‐weight heparin were based on estimated thromboembolism and bleeding risk. Results: Indications for chronic anticoagulation included venous thromboembolism (38%), atrial fibrillation (30%) and mechanical heart valves (27%). Of these, 1496 (69%) patients received bridging therapy. The 3‐month cumulative incidence rates of major and overall bleeding were 2.1% and 5.1%, respectively. Major bleeding occurred more frequently in patients receiving bridging therapy (3% vs. 1%; P = 0.017). Independent predictors (hazard ratio; 95% confidence interval) of major bleeding included mitral mechanical heart valve (2.2; 1.1–4.3), active cancer (1.8; 1.0–3.1), prior bleeding history (2.6; 1.5–4.5) and re‐initiation of heparin therapy within 24 h after the procedure (1.9; 1.1–3.4). Conclusion: Factors predisposing to peri‐procedural bleeding are primarily patient‐specific. Premature heparin re‐initiation is an avoidable provider‐specific variable to consider.