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2021年5月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估
引用本文:王平,涂文校,陈秋兰,王霄晔,冯晔囡,孟玲,魏依侬,向妮娟,施国庆. 2021年5月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(5): 403-405. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202105120261
作者姓名:王平  涂文校  陈秋兰  王霄晔  冯晔囡  孟玲  魏依侬  向妮娟  施国庆
作者单位:1.山东第一医科大学公共卫生学院,山东 泰安 271016
基金项目:国家科技重大专项(No. 2018ZX10101002–003)
摘    要:目的 评估2021年5月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险.方法 根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估.结果 预计5月突发公共卫生事件的报告数将超过新型冠状病毒肺炎(新冠肺炎...

关 键 词:突发公共卫生事件  传染病疫情  风险评估
收稿时间:2021-05-12

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China,May 2021
Affiliation:1.School of Public Heath, Shandong First Medical University, Taian 271016, Shandong, China2.Public Health Emergency Center, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China3.Division of Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China4.National Institute for Viral Disease Prevention and Control, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China
Abstract:  Objective  To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in May 2021.  Methods  An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference.  Results  It is expected that public health emergency events in May 2021 would be higher than the same period of 5 years’ average level before coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The risk of importation and local transmission of COVID-19 in May might be similar with April 2021(or lower), as the prevention and control strategy remains unchanged in China, and with accelerating vaccination and rising temperature. It is predicted that the epidemic level of brucellosis would continue to increase and higher than the average level of 5 years before. The food poisoning events would be on the rise and mainly caused by microbe, and the deaths of food poisoning would be mainly caused by poisonous animal, plants and mushrooms.  Conclusion  Special attention should be paid to COVID-19. Major attention should be paid to the Brucellosis. General attentions should be paid to food poisoning.
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