Coronary reserve, extent of coronary disease, recurrent angina and ECG changes during pain in the in-hospital prognosis of acute coronary syndromes

The prognostic value of recurrent angina, severity of coronarydisease, ECG changes during pain and coronary reserve (ischaemicthreshold measured by atrial pacing: heart rate with ST segmentshift = 1 mm), was evaluated in 383 consecutive patients withacute coronary syndromes. Univariate analysis showed a significantrelationship between occurrence of complications (death, infarctionor coronary surgery) and number of anginal episodes, extentof coronary disease, ischaemic threshold and ST depression withpain. A multivariate analysis indicated that the first threeparameters were the main independent predictors. Coronary reservewas reduced (threshold 150 beats. min^–1) in 83% of patientswho had a myocardial infarction (40), in 91% of those who died(11), in 87% of those who underwent coronary surgery (52) andin 47% of uncomplicated cases (301). Also, a low ischaemic thresholdwas associated with a larger number of anginal episodes thana high threshold ( 130 beats. min^–1, 6.1 ± 5.6vs > 150 beats. min^–1, 2.9± 4.1, P<0.0001),and in complicated patients with one-, two- or three-vesseldisease ischaemic threshold (137.3± 21.2, 133.3 ±18.9, and 135.1 ± 21.2 beats. min^–1, respectively)was lower than in the uncomplicated ones (153.4±20.1,P < 0.005; 148.2± 19.1 P < 0.005; and 139.2 ±23.0 ns, beats, min^–1). A threshold <150 beats. min^–1and ECG changes during pain identified the subset with the highestrisk for complications (59/137, 45%), whereas a threshold >150 beats. Min^–1 and absence of pain or ECG changes duringpain identified those with the lowest risk (5/109, 5%, p <0.001). Thus, our findings document the prognostic significance of coronaryreserve for in-hospital complications in patients with acutecoronary syndromes and confirm the prognostic value of previouslyknown risk markers. They also indicate that some of them maybe significantly influenced by the status of coronary reserve.