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| 同伴推动抽样法在吸毒人群基数估计中的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 王曼,林鹏,赵金扣,李艳,张巧利.同伴推动抽样法在吸毒人群基数估计中的应用[J].疾病控制杂志,2011,15(3):203-206. |
| 作者姓名： | 王曼 林鹏 赵金扣 李艳 张巧利 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 暨南大学医学院,广东,广州,510632;广东省疾病预防控制中心,广东,广州,510300 2. 广东省疾病预防控制中心,广东,广州,510300 3. 盖茨基金会北京代表处,北京,100027 4. 东莞市疾病预防控制中心,广东,东莞,523129 |
| 摘 要： | 目的 探索用同伴推动抽样法(respondent-driven sampling,RDS)结合乘数法进行吸毒人群基数估计的可行性.方法 2008年,采用RDS招募东莞市社区吸毒人群进行面对面的问卷调查,获得样本所占接触强制戒毒所和美沙酮维持治疗(methadone maintenance treatment,MMT)门诊的比例,用RDS分析软件进行权重处理;结合当地强制戒毒所和MMT门诊的数据,估计吸毒人群基数.结果 经过15周,共招募303名吸毒者.以强制戒毒所为基础,估计东莞市吸毒人群为52 028(90% CI:35 196～81 590)人,是在册登记数的2.67(90% CI:1.81～4.19)倍;估计注射吸毒人群43 651(90% CI:29 529～68 454)人,占常住成年人口数的0.87%(90% CI:0.59%～1.36%).以MMT门诊为基础,估计东莞市吸毒人群为7 058(90% CI:3 555～13 162)人.结论 RDS结合乘数法对吸毒人群进行基数估计是可行的;但基于MMT门诊数据的估计结果可能会被低估,在应用时应注意选择合适的接触机构以及接触时间. |
| 关 键 词： | 吸毒人群 基数估计 乘数法 同伴推动抽样法 |
Application of respondent-driven sampling in estimating the number of drug users |
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| WANG Man,LIN Peng,ZHAO Jin-kou,LI Yan,ZHANG Qiao-li.Application of respondent-driven sampling in estimating the number of drug users[J].Chinese Journal of Disease Control and Prevention,2011,15(3):203-206. | |
| Authors: | WANG Man LIN Peng ZHAO Jin-kou LI Yan ZHANG Qiao-li |
| Institution: | WANG Man1,2,LIN Peng2,ZHAO Jin-kou3,LI Yan2,ZHANG Qiao-li4.1.School of Medicine,Jinan University,Guangzhou 510632,China,2.Guangdong Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Guangzhou 510300,3.Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation,Beijing Representative Office,Beijing 100027,4.Dongguan Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Dongguan 523129 |
| Abstract: | Objective To explore the feasibility of respondent-driven sampling(RDS) with multiplier in estimating the number of drug users. Methods In 2008,RDS was applied to recruit community-based drug users in Dongguan.A structured questionnaire guided face to face interview was applied to get the proportions of ever in the compulsive detoxification center and in the methadone maintenance treatment(MMT);RDS analysis tool was adopted to adjust the data.The number of drug users was estimated based on the local data of... |
| Keywords: | Drug users Estimation of population size Multiplier method Respondent-driven sampling |
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