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Effects of COVID-19 Vaccination Timing and Risk Prioritization on Mortality Rates,United States |
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| Authors: | Xutong Wang Zhanwei Du Kaitlyn E. Johnson Remy F. Pasco Spencer J. Fox Michael Lachmann Jason S. McLellan Lauren Ancel Meyers |
| Affiliation: | The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA (X. Wang, Z. Du, K.E. Johnson, R.F. Pasco, S.J. Fox, J.S. McLellan, L.A. Meyers);The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China (Z. Du);Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, Hong Kong (Z. Du);Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA (M. Lachmann, L.A. Meyers) |
| Abstract: | During rollout of coronavirus disease vaccination, policymakers have faced critical trade-offs. Using a mathematical model of transmission, we found that timing of vaccination rollout would be expected to have a substantially greater effect on mortality rate than risk-based prioritization and uptake and that prioritizing first doses over second doses may be lifesaving. |
| Keywords: | COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 viruses respiratory infections zoonoses vaccines mortality pandemics epidemiology mathematical model United States Texas coronavirus disease |