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基于社会力模型的地铁站微观人群传染与防控
引用本文:陈力,杜彩肖,姚萌,王高洋,梁博洋,王敬瑜,刘思琪,李雨哲,崔海航,周敏.基于社会力模型的地铁站微观人群传染与防控[J].中国感染控制杂志,2022,21(1):22-29.
作者姓名:陈力  杜彩肖  姚萌  王高洋  梁博洋  王敬瑜  刘思琪  李雨哲  崔海航  周敏
作者单位:1. 西安建筑科技大学建筑设备科学与工程学院, 陕西 西安 710055;2. 西安建筑科技大学力学技术研究院, 陕西 西安 710055;3. 中国中元国际工程有限公司, 北京 100089;4. 西安中地工程规划设计有限公司, 陕西 西安 710055
基金项目:国家自然科学基金面上项目(51978555);陕西省自然科学基础研究计划一般项目(面上)(2020JM-479);西安建筑科技大学本科生科研训练(SSRT)计划项目。
摘    要:目的 以典型的地铁站内行人出站过程为例,探究公共场所内微观人群运动对感染过程的影响.方法 在新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情背景下,基于社会力模型,对行人出站过程中的感染传播情况进行模拟,验证相关防控措施的有效性.结果 在研究参数设置和假设条件下,合理设置楼梯隔挡最多能够降低约23%的感染人数,增大行人间距最多能够降低约25%的感...

关 键 词:社会力模型  人群动力学  传染动力学  防控措施  新型冠状病毒肺炎

Prevention and control of micro crowd infection in subway station based on social force model
CHEN Li,DU Cai-xiao,YAO Meng,WANG Gao-yang,LIANG Bo-yang,WANG Jing-yu,LIU Si-qi,LI Yu-zhe,CUI Hai-hang,ZHOU Min.Prevention and control of micro crowd infection in subway station based on social force model[J].Chinese Journal of Infection Control,2022,21(1):22-29.
Authors:CHEN Li  DU Cai-xiao  YAO Meng  WANG Gao-yang  LIANG Bo-yang  WANG Jing-yu  LIU Si-qi  LI Yu-zhe  CUI Hai-hang  ZHOU Min
Institution:1. School of Building Services Science and Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710055, China;2. Institute of Mechanics and Technology, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710055, China;3. China IPPR International Engineering CO., LTD., Beijing 100089, China;4. Xi'an Zhong Di Engineering Planning and Design Corporation, Xi'an 710055, China
Abstract:Objective Taking a typical pedestrian exit process in a subway station as an example,the impact of micro crowd movement in public places on infection process was explored.Methods Based on the social force mo-del,infection transmission of pedestrians in the process of leaving the station was simulated to verify the effectiveness of relevant prevention and control measures under the background of coronavirus 2019 epidemic.Results Under the studied parameter settings and assumptions,rational setting stair barriers can reduce the number of infected people by about 23%,increasing pedestrian distance can reduce the number of infected person by about 25%,and increa-sing pedestrian moving speed can reduce the number of infected person by about 50%.Conclusion Rational barrier facilities,large pedestrian distance and expected speed can reduce the number of infected person,but the increase of the total number of person leaving station will reduce the effectiveness of the measures.
Keywords:social force model  population dynamics  infectious dynamics  prevention and control measure  coronavirus disease 2019
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