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南京市初治肺结核患者成功治疗后复发及影响因素分析
引用本文:王荣,许可,洪忻,苗瑞芬,杨晨,江燕,张大卫,李晨,张洪英.南京市初治肺结核患者成功治疗后复发及影响因素分析[J].中国热带医学,2022,22(8):735-738.
作者姓名:王荣  许可  洪忻  苗瑞芬  杨晨  江燕  张大卫  李晨  张洪英
作者单位:南京市疾病预防控制中心,江苏 南京 210003
基金项目:中国疾病预防控制中心公共卫生领域卫生健康标准评估项目(No.中疾控标准便函〔2021〕517 号); 南京市卫健委医学重点科技发展项目(No.ZKX19048)
摘    要:Objective To analyze the recurrence and influencing factors of the new pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) cases after successful treatment in Nanjing, and provide evidence for reducing TB recurrence. Methods With retrospective cohort study method, the data of new TB cases which were successful treated during 2011-2019 derived from the TB Information Management System, then the recurrence condition were collected from 2011 to 2020. The recurrence rate was estimated by using life-table method, and the influencing factors were analyzed by a Cox proportional hazard regression model. Results Among 19 452 TB patients, 484 cases had recurred by the end of 2020, with a recurrence rate density of 0.52/100 person-years. The median recurrence interval was 1.66(0.67,3.18) years. 73.14% had recurrence within 3 years and 91.53% had recurrence within 5 years. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model showed that men (HR=1.517, 95%CI: 1.219-1.889), aged ≥40 years old (HR=2.360, 95%CI:1.254-4.439), etiology positive (HR=2.028, 95%CI:1.682-2.444), lung cavity before treatment (HR=1.464, 95%CI:1.198-1.789) and complicated with diabetes mellitus (HR=5.860, 95%CI:3.557-9.653) were the major risk factors for tuberculosis recurrence. Conclusions The recurrence rate of the new TB patients was low in Nanjing, however, affirmative measures should be taken for high-risk patients to reduce recurrence. Early identification, targeted intervention and follow-up management should be strengthened for patients who were male, over 40 years old, etiology positive, with lung cavity before treatment and complicated with diabetes mellitus. © 2022 Editorial Office of Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control. All rights reserved.

关 键 词:结核病  成功治疗  复发  影响因素  Cox比例风险模型
收稿时间:2022-02-22

Recurrence and influencing factors of the new pulmonary tuberculosis after successful treatment in Nanjing
WANG Rong,XU Ke,HONG Xin,MIAO Rui-fen,YANG Chen,JIANG Yan,ZHANG Da-wei,LI Chen,ZHANG Hong-ying.Recurrence and influencing factors of the new pulmonary tuberculosis after successful treatment in Nanjing[J].China Tropical Medicine,2022,22(8):735-738.
Authors:WANG Rong  XU Ke  HONG Xin  MIAO Rui-fen  YANG Chen  JIANG Yan  ZHANG Da-wei  LI Chen  ZHANG Hong-ying
Institution:Nanjing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210003, China
Abstract:Objective To analyze the recurrence and influencing factors of the new pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) cases after successful treatment in Nanjing, and provide evidence for reducing TB recurrence. Methods With retrospective cohort study method, the data of new TB cases which were successful treated during 2011-2019 derived from the TB Information Management System, then the recurrence condition were collected from 2011 to 2020. The recurrence rate was estimated by using life-table method, and the influencing factors were analyzed by a Cox proportional hazard regression model. Results Among 19 452 TB patients, 484 cases had recurred by the end of 2020, with a recurrence rate density of 0.52/100 person-years. The median recurrence interval was 1.66(0.67,3.18) years. 73.14% had recurrence within 3 years and 91.53% had recurrence within 5 years. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model showed that men (HR=1.517, 95%CI:1.219-1.889), aged ≥40 years old (HR=2.360, 95%CI:1.254-4.439), etiology positive (HR=2.028, 95%CI:1.682-2.444), lung cavity before treatment (HR=1.464, 95%CI:1.198-1.789) and complicated with diabetes mellitus (HR=5.860, 95%CI:3.557-9.653) were the major risk factors for tuberculosis recurrence. Conclusions The recurrence rate of the new TB patients was low in Nanjing, however, affirmative measures should be taken for high-risk patients to reduce recurrence. Early identification, targeted intervention and follow-up management should be strengthened for patients who were male, over 40 years old, etiology positive, with lung cavity before treatment and complicated with diabetes mellitus.
Keywords:Tuberculosis  successful treatment  recurrence  influencing factors  Cox proportional hazard model  
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