中国川崎病患儿并发冠状动脉病变高危因素的Meta分析

目的 探讨中国川崎病患儿并发冠状动脉病变的高危因素.方法 检索包括中国学术文献总库、中文科技期刊数据库、万方期刊及学位论文数据库、中国生物医学文献数据库,并辅以文献追溯、手工检索等方法,收集2000年1月至2009年12月国内公开发表的文章和学位论文中关于川崎病并发冠状动脉病变高危因素的临床资料,对所纳入的研究数据采用Coehrane协作网提供的Review Manager软件(Revman4.2)进行统计分析.根据文献异质性检验结果,进行固定效应模型或随机效应模型的Meta分析.计算各指标的比值比(OR)及其95%的可信区间(CI).结果 共纳入文献20篇,提取资料行统计分析结果示:发病年龄≤1岁OR=1.58,95%CI(1.23,2.04),P=0.0004],男性OR=1.48,95%CI(1.29,1.71),P＜0.000 01],WBC＞20×109/LOR=1.73,95%CI(1.32,2.26),P＜0.0001],CRP＞100 mg/LOR=2.37,95% CI(1.49,3.77),P=0.0003],发热＞10 dOR=3.23,95%CI(2.08,5.02),P＜0.000 01],丙种球蛋白使用时发病时间＞10 dOR=2.50,95%CI(1.98,3.16),P＜0.000 01],差异均有统计学意义.ESR＞100 mm/1 hOR=1.34,95%CI(1.02,1.75),P=0.03],差异有统计学意义,但结论不稳定.PLT＜300×109/LOR=0.85,95%CI(0.62,1.15),P=0.29],差异无统计学意义.结论 目前中国川崎病患儿发生冠状动脉病变的主要高危因素为发病年龄≤1岁、性别为男性、WBC＞20×109/L、CRP＞100 mg/L、发热天数＞10 d、丙种球蛋白使用时发病时间＞10 d.

Abstract：

Objective Coronary artery lesion (CAL)is a serious complication of Kawasak disease (KD).Whether there is CAL and the severity arc the most critical factors of the prognosis of KD.The incidence of KD is currently increasing year by year.KD has replaced rheumatic fever as the main entity of acquired heart disease of children.This study aimed to identify risk factors of CAL secondary to KD and take early interventions to prevent CAL or reduce its incidence.MethOd Literature search was performed at Chinese Academic Literature Main Database,Chinese Science and Technology Periodical Database,Wanfang Periodicals and Dissertation Database.and the Chinese Biomedical Literature Database comprehensively,besides,retrospective retrieval and manual retrieval were also performed from the domestic public actions and the dissertations dating from January,2000 to December, 2009.RayMan 4.2 provided by Cochrane was used for meta analysis.Fixed or random model was selected according to the results of heterogeneity test.Sensitivity analysis was done according to the different results.The publication bias was evaluated by funnel plots.Odds ratio(OR)and 95% confidence interval(CI)were estimated in the dissertation.Result Twenty studies were confirmed to be eligible.A11 the 20 studies were retrospective.OR and 95%CI of the risk factors were as follows:age≤1 year,OR=1.58,and 95%CI(1.23,2.04),P=0.0004;male gender, OR=1.48,95%CI(1.29,1.71),P＜0.000 01;WBC＞20×109/L,OR=1.73,95% CI(1.32,2.26),P＜0.000l;C-reactive protein(CRP)＞100 mg/L,OR=2.37,95%CI(1.49,3.77),P=0.0003:fever duration＞10 d,OR=3.23,95%CI(2.08,5.02),P＜0.000 01;use of intravenous gamma globulin(IVIG)＞10 d,OR=2.50,95%CI(1.98,3.16),P＜0.000 01.Conclusion The high risk factors for coronary artery lesion secondary to Kawasaki disease are age≤1 year,male,WBC＞20×109/L,CRP＞100 mg/L,fever duration＞10 d,and use of intravenous gamma globulin(IVIG)＞10 d.

Meta-analysis of the risk factors for coronary artery lesion secondary to Kawasaki disease in Chinese children

Objective Coronary artery lesion (CAL)is a serious complication of Kawasak disease (KD).Whether there is CAL and the severity arc the most critical factors of the prognosis of KD.The incidence of KD is currently increasing year by year.KD has replaced rheumatic fever as the main entity of acquired heart disease of children.This study aimed to identify risk factors of CAL secondary to KD and take early interventions to prevent CAL or reduce its incidence.MethOd Literature search was performed at Chinese Academic Literature Main Database,Chinese Science and Technology Periodical Database,Wanfang Periodicals and Dissertation Database.and the Chinese Biomedical Literature Database comprehensively,besides,retrospective retrieval and manual retrieval were also performed from the domestic public actions and the dissertations dating from January,2000 to December, 2009.RayMan 4.2 provided by Cochrane was used for meta analysis.Fixed or random model was selected according to the results of heterogeneity test.Sensitivity analysis was done according to the different results.The publication bias was evaluated by funnel plots.Odds ratio(OR)and 95% confidence interval(CI)were estimated in the dissertation.Result Twenty studies were confirmed to be eligible.A11 the 20 studies were retrospective.OR and 95%CI of the risk factors were as follows:age≤1 year,OR=1.58,and 95%CI(1.23,2.04),P=0.0004;male gender, OR=1.48,95%CI(1.29,1.71),P＜0.000 01;WBC＞20×109/L,OR=1.73,95% CI(1.32,2.26),P＜0.000l;C-reactive protein(CRP)＞100 mg/L,OR=2.37,95%CI(1.49,3.77),P=0.0003:fever duration＞10 d,OR=3.23,95%CI(2.08,5.02),P＜0.000 01;use of intravenous gamma globulin(IVIG)＞10 d,OR=2.50,95%CI(1.98,3.16),P＜0.000 01.Conclusion The high risk factors for coronary artery lesion secondary to Kawasaki disease are age≤1 year,male,WBC＞20×109/L,CRP＞100 mg/L,fever duration＞10 d,and use of intravenous gamma globulin(IVIG)＞10 d.