广州市2000～2003年流感疫苗需求发展动态分析

目的 通过健康教育增加疫苗的使用，使人们认识到可以通过接种疫苗，达到以非常低的成本来预防疾病的效果。方法 分析2000-2003年流感疫苗销售量，从疫苗分类明细中提取4a的流感疫苗销售数量进行统计，并查询2000～2003年广州市计划免疫年报中的全市常住人口资料进行标化后再统计。用发展速度和增长速度分析研究流感疫苗需求的发展变化规律。结果 流感疫苗4a销售量分别为11286、58570、84945及390138支，2000～2003年流感疫苗使用量分别占全市总人口的0．16％、0．85％、1．23％及5．66％，流感疫苗的人均消费4a分别为0．07、0．38、1．23元及2．40元；流感疫苗的销售量2001-2003年定基比发展速度分别是518．96％、752．66％及3456．83％；环比发展速度分别是518．96％、145．03％及459．28％；2003年流感疫苗销量达390138支，相当于2000年销量的518．96％。结论 以上数据显示随着社会的发展，物质生活水平的提高，人们对健康的观念认识已经从满足温饱的基本生理需求上升到躯体无病、身心健康的高度，“医”和衣食住行并列成为现代社会人类生活的五大必需要素，尤其2003年非典型肺炎疫情的影响，使得人们的防病意识进一步加强，主动要求接种流感疫苗，主动愿意为健康和长寿投资。

Dynamic Analysis of the Demand of Influenza Vaccine in Guangzhou 2000～2003

[Objective] To help the population to realize that disease prevention could be achieved with a low cost by accepting vaccination through health education.[Methods] The sales volume of the influenza vaccine and the permanent residents' number in Guangzhou since 2000 to 2003 were investigated and analyzed.The development law of the demand for influenza vaccine was studied by analyzing the development rate and the increase rate.[Results] The sales volumes of influenza vaccine in the four years were 11 286,58 570,84 945 and 390 138 respectively;the influenza vaccine application rates were 0.16 %,0.85%,1.23% and 5.66% respectively;the average influenza vaccine consumption per capita was 0.07,0.38,1.23 and 2.40 yuan respectively;the development rates of influenza vaccine sales with fixed base were 518.96%,752.66% and 3 456.83% respectively;and development rates of link ratio were 518.96%,(145.03%) and 459.28% respectively;the sales volume of influenza vaccine in 2003 was 390 138,518.96% times of that in 2000.[Conclusion] The data displayed above indicates that the population's concept of health has shifted from mere basic requirements to both physical and mental health with the development of the standard of living.The population's consciousness of disease prevention has been further improved especially after the SARS epidemic attack.