The natural history of breast carcinoma in the elderly: implications for screening and treatment

BACKGROUND: The authors evaluated the two indicators of metastatic proclivity (namely, virulence [V; the rate of appearance of distant metastases] and metastagenicity [M; the ultimate likelihood of developing distant metastases]) of breast carcinoma in elderly women. The authors then compared these characteristics with the corresponding characteristics in a cohort of younger women to determine whether breast carcinoma was more indolent in women age > 70 years, as is commonly believed in the medical community. METHODS: The authors examined 2136 women who underwent mastectomy without adjuvant systemic therapy at The University of Chicago Hospitals (Chicago, IL) between 1927 and 1987. The median follow-up period was 12.3 years. Distant disease-free survival (DDFS) was determined for women who did not receive systemic therapy. V and M were obtained from log-linear plots of DDFS. RESULTS: No significant difference in tumor size at presentation was observed among women age < 40 years, women ages 40-70 years, and women age > 70 years (P = 0.86), whereas significantly fewer women age > 70 years presented with positive lymph nodes compared with younger women (P = 0.05). In women with negative lymph node status, there was a higher DDFS rate among patients ages 40-70 years (81% at 10 years) compared with patients age > 70 years (65% at 10 years; P = 0.018). There was no significant age-related difference among women with lymph node-positive disease (P = 0.2). For example, the 10-year DDFS rate for women ages 40-70 years was 33%, compared with 38% for women age > 70 years. Among those with lymph node-negative disease, V was 3% per year for women ages 40-70 years as well as women age > 70 years. Among women with lymph node-negative disease, M was 0.20 for patients ages 40-70 years and 0.35 for patients age > 70 years. In women with positive lymph node status, both V (11% per year vs. 10% per year) and M (0.70 vs. 0.65) were similar in both age groups. CONCLUSIONS: Fewer women age > 70 years had lymph node involvement at presentation. However, when this finding was taken into account, the authors found no evidence that breast carcinoma was more indolent in women age > 70 years. These results support the use of similar diagnostic and therapeutic efforts for elderly women and younger women, with modification for elderly women based only on comorbidity.