p27(Kip1) is an independent predictor of recurrence after surgical resection in patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Alterations in p27(Kip1) (p27) and cyclin E (cycE) expression are found in tumors and are related to poor prognosis. This study assesses the role of these cell cycle regulators in the development of recurrence after surgical resection in 46 cirrhotic patients (age: 61.3+/-7 years, 30 males, 44 Child-Pugh's A, 30 HCV-positive) with small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC, size: 3.1+/-1.5cm, 40 solitary at pathological examination). METHODS: p27 and cycE expression in tumoral and non-tumoral liver were analyzed by Western blot (WB). p27 was also assessed by immunohistochemistry (IHC). RESULTS: Tumor p27 underexpression (50% decreased vs. non-tumoral liver) occurred in 12 cases. Throughout follow-up, 26 patients developed recurrence, which was significantly higher in patients with p27 underexpression than in those without (3-year recurrence: 80 vs. 44%, respectively, P=0.026). IHC showed concordant inverse findings: 13 tumors showed high p27 staining that was related to lower recurrence rate (P=0.019). Multivariate analysis identified p27 measured by WB as an improved predictor of recurrence (OR: 3.09, 95% CI: 1.26-7.08, P=0.016). By contrast, cycE, increased in 66% of the tumors, had no impact on recurrence but was associated to poor differentiation (P=0.015) and microvascular invasion (P=0.016). CONCLUSIONS: p27 underexpression is frequent in relatively early stages of HCC and constitutes an independent predictor of recurrence after surgical resection.