基于经济效益预测的医疗设备可行性论证模式探讨

目的:建立一套经济效益预测模式,为医疗设备可行性论证提供依据。方法:结合某医院2018年效益分析结果,对某医院2019年医疗设备购置计划进行经济效益进行预测。结果:根据该经济效益预测方法,可以得出每台设备的预期投资回收期、预期投资收益率、投资回收期分别为1~5年时的设备投资限额。结论:论证前,经济效益预测可以为科室申报提供参考依据;论证过程中,经济效益预测结果可以为可行性论证提供参考依据,使可行性论证工作更加科学和精细;论证后,可以为医疗设备预算编制、采购计划及采购限额提供依据。

Discussion on the Feasibility Demonstration Model of Medical Equipment Based on Economic Benefit Forecast

Objective: To establish a economic benefits forecasting model to provide evidence for the feasibility demonstration of medical equipment. Methods: Predict the economic benefits of the medical equipment that want to buy in 2019 based on the results of 2018 benefit analysis. Results: According to the economic efficiency forecasting method, we can get the expected investment recovery period, the expected investment return rate, and the investment limit when the investment recovery period equal to 1-5 years for each equipment. Conclusion: Before the demonstration, the economic benefits forecasting model can provide reference for the department to declare;In the process of demonstration, the results of economic benefit prediction can provide reference for the decision of whether to buy the medical equipment;After the demonstration, it may provide reference for the making of the medical equipment budget, procurement plan and the purchase limit.