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数量特征敏感问题加法模型二阶段抽样的统计方法及其应用
引用本文:刘鹏,高歌,贺志龙,阮玉华,李旭东,于明润. 数量特征敏感问题加法模型二阶段抽样的统计方法及其应用[J]. 苏州大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 0(3): 384-387,408
作者姓名:刘鹏  高歌  贺志龙  阮玉华  李旭东  于明润
作者单位:[1]苏州大学医学部放射医学与公共卫生学院流行病学与卫生统计学教研室,江苏苏州215123 [2]中国疾病预防控制中心性病艾滋病预防控制中心,北京100050
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(30972548)
摘    要:目的为数量特征敏感问题的二阶段抽样提供科学的调查方法及其统计量计算公式,为制定北京市艾滋病高危人群预防控制规划、措施提供科学数据。方法使用数量特征敏感问题加法模型、二阶段随机抽样、均数的性质、方差的性质等数理统计的理论与方法。结果推导出数量特征敏感问题加法模型二阶段抽样调查总体均值的估计量及其方差、估计方差的计算公式。运用该文提供的调查方法及其统计公式,调查估计得出北京市男男性行为人群首次男男性行为的平均年龄为21.9 747岁。结论该文提供的数量特征敏感问题二阶段抽样的调查方法及其统计公式科学可行。

关 键 词:敏感问题  RRT加法模型  二阶段抽样  男男性行为

Two-stage Sampling on Additive Model for Quantitative Sensitive Question Survey and Its Application
LIU Peng,GAO Ge,HE Zhi-long,RUAN Yu-hua,LI Xu-dong,YU Ming-run. Two-stage Sampling on Additive Model for Quantitative Sensitive Question Survey and Its Application[J]. Suzhou University Journal of Medical Science, 2011, 0(3): 384-387,408
Authors:LIU Peng  GAO Ge  HE Zhi-long  RUAN Yu-hua  LI Xu-dong  YU Ming-run
Affiliation:1.Dept of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Radiation Medicine and Public Health,Medical College,Soochow University,Jiangsu Suzhou 215123,China;2.Sexually Transmitted Diseases and Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome Prevention and Control Center,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100050,China)
Abstract:Objective To explore scientific sampling methods and corresponding formulas for quantitative sensitive question survey on two-stage random sampling.To provide scientific data for the prevention and control of high risk AIDS population in Beijing.Methods Additive model for quantitative sensitive question survey,two-stage random sampling,properties of variance and mean were used.Results Formulas for the estimation of the population proportions and its variance on additive model for quantitative sensitive question survey were deduced.The survey methods and formulas were employed successfully in the survey of the age of the first time for having MSM sex and the result was 21.9 747.Conclusion The methods and corresponding formulas for two-stage sampling on additive model for quantitative sensitive question survey are feasible.
Keywords:sensitive questions  additive model for randomized response technique  two-stage sampling  men who have sex with men
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