Risk evaluation of outcome of vitreous surgery based on vitreous levels of cytokines

AIM: To ascertain whether vitreous and plasma levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and fundus findings could predict the outcome of vitreous surgery in patients with proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR). METHODS: Vitreous fluid samples were obtained during vitreoretinal surgery from 73 consecutive eyes with PDR. The levels of VEGF and IL-6 in vitreous fluid and plasma were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Patients were prospectively followed for 6 months and the postoperative outcome was analysed by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: No improvement and/or progression of PDR occurred in 23 (32%) of the 73 eyes (progression group). The vitreous levels of VEGF and IL-6 were significantly higher in eyes from the progression group than in eyes with regression of PDR (regression group) (P=0.0032 and 0.0088, respectively). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that higher vitreous levels of VEGF were associated with the progression of PDR after vitreous surgery (odds ratio 2.72, P=0.0003). CONCLUSIONS: High vitreous levels of VEGF identified as a significant risk factor for the outcome of vitreous surgery in patients with PDR. A model was developed to predict the probability of PDR progression and measurement of the vitreous level of VEGF may be useful for predicting the outcome of surgery.