Greater Epoetin alfa Responsiveness Is Associated With Improved Survival in Hemodialysis Patients

Background and objectives: Among hemodialysis patients, achieved hemoglobin is associated with Epoetin alfa dose and erythropoietin responsiveness. A prospective erythropoietin responsiveness measure was developed and its association with mortality evaluated.Design, setting, participants, & measurements: Data from 321 participants were used and randomized to the hematocrit normalization arm of the Normal Hematocrit Cardiac Trial. Subjects were to receive a 50% Epoetin alfa dose increase at randomization. The prospective erythropoietin responsiveness measure was defined as the ratio of weekly hematocrit change (over the 3 wk after randomization) per Epoetin alfa dose increase (1000 IU/wk) corresponding to the mandated 50% dose increase at randomization. The distribution of responsiveness was divided into quartiles. Over a 1-yr follow-up, Cox proportional hazard modeling evaluated associations between this responsiveness measure and mortality.Results: Erythropoietin responsiveness values ranged from −2.1% to 2.4% per week per 1000 IU. Although subjects were similar across response quartiles, mortality ranged between 14% and 34% among subjects in the highest and lowest response quartiles (P = 0.0004), respectively. After adjusting for baseline prognostic indicators, highest versus lowest responsiveness was associated with a hazard ratio of 0.41 (95% confidence interval, 0.20 to 0.87).Conclusion: Lower erythropoietin responsiveness is a strong, independent predictor of mortality risk and should be considered when evaluating associations between clinical outcomes and potential prognostic indicators, such as Epoetin alfa dose and achieved hemoglobin values.More than 90% of end-stage renal disease patients require exogenous erythropoietin or transfusion to achieve and maintain target hemoglobin values (1,2) because of decreased endogenous erythropoietin production. The ability to achieve and maintain target hemoglobin levels is complicated by a variety of mediating factors that impact responsiveness to erythropoietin, including comorbidities, inflammation, and malnutrition. These factors are independently associated with poor clinical outcomes (3–9).The impact of erythropoietin responsiveness on mortality is not well understood. Although higher hemoglobin levels have been associated with reduction in mortality in observational studies (10,11), evidence from randomized clinical trials of hemodialysis patients does not suggest a mortality benefit (12). Paradoxically, in the Normal Hematocrit Cardiac Trial (13), the largest randomized trial conducted to date in hemodialysis patients, survival rates were higher among those achieving higher hematocrit values, but targeting a higher hematocrit was associated with a 1.3-fold increased risk of mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.9 to 1.9). This suggests that unknown/unmeasured patient characteristics associated with the ability to achieve greater hemoglobin values may confound analyses assessing mortality risks among dialysis patients.Achieved hemoglobin level is associated with both the Epoetin alfa doses administered and patient responsiveness to erythropoietin. Greater survival among patients with higher hemoglobin values may be partly due to greater erythropoietin responsiveness (14) in addition to a direct result of anemia correction. Likewise, lower survival among those with lower achieved hemoglobin values may be partly the result of lower relative erythropoietin responsiveness. Patients who require higher Epoetin alfa doses to achieve a given hemoglobin level, that is, who are less responsive to erythropoietin, may experience poorer outcomes at any achieved hemoglobin value (15).In this study, data from the hematocrit normalization arm of the Normal Hematocrit Cardiac Trial (13) were used to develop a prospective measure of erythropoietin responsiveness, which was then evaluated in relation to mortality.