Risk of molecular recurrence after tyrosine kinase inhibitor discontinuation in chronic myeloid leukaemia patients: a systematic review of literature with a meta-analysis of studies over the last ten years

More than 10 years ago, the first pilot observational study of imatinib discontinuation was reported in chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) patients in deep molecular response (DMR). Several studies have been published since then, in patients treated with frontline imatinib, or second-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) in first or second line but also on second attempt of TKI discontinuation. Our objective was to estimate, through meta-analyses of the literature data, the probability of molecular recurrence (MolRec) in the time periods of 0–6, 6–12, 12–18 and 18–24 months after a first and second TKI discontinuation and the probability of re-acquisition of DMR after MolRec. The Medline and Scopus databases were searched up to April 2019. The studies were selected by three independent reviewers. Random-effect meta-analyses were conducted using the MetaXL software. The probability of MolRec in the time periods 0–6, 6–12, 12–18 and 18–24 months after the first attempt was respectively 35%, 8%, 3% and 3%, whereas the probability of MolRec in the time periods 0-6, 6-12 and 12-18 after the second attempt was 48%, 27% and 12% respectively. Re-acquisition of a DMR was observed in 90% of patients. Most of the MolRec occur during the first six months in case of a first attempt, whereas the second MolRec occurs over a larger window of time.