The prognostic factors of in-hospital death among patients with pneumonic COPD acute exacerbation

BackgroundPneumonic acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD-AE) is associated with worse outcomes compared with non-pneumonic COPD-AE. We aimed to explore prognostic factors among patients with pneumonic COPD-AE.MethodsThis multicentered retrospective cohort study was conducted across five hospitals in Japan. Hospitalized patients ≥40 years of age with pneumonic COPD-AE who were administered systemic corticosteroids during hospitalization were included. Patients with other causes of respiratory failure, daily systemic steroid users, and patients who were not treated with systemic steroids were excluded. Based on existing clinical prediction models, the following potential prognostic factors were selected in advance: age, blood eosinophil count, blood urea nitrogen, respiratory rate, diastolic blood pressure, and altered mental status. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to determine the association between potential prognostic factors and in-hospital death.ResultsAfter excluding 897 patients based on the exclusion criteria, 669 patients with pneumonic COPD-AE who were administered systemic corticosteroids were included. The in-hospital mortality rate was 5.1%. Altered mental status was associated with mortality (odds ratio, 4.47; 95% confidence intervals, 2.00 to 10.00), and eosinophilia was associated with a lower risk of mortality (odds ratio, 0.19; 95% confidence intervals: 0.06 to 0.56).ConclusionsAltered mental status may be a prognostic factor for in-hospital death among patients with pneumonic COPD-AE who were administered systemic corticosteroids. Moreover, eosinophilia may be a prognostic factor for lower in-hospital mortality rate among these patients.