Importance of risk stratification models in cardiac surgery.

In a context of growing control of health-care expenditures,it is important to assess cardiac surgical results as preciselyas possible. However, as patient population may differ significantlybetween institutions and geographic areas, comparison of absolutenumbers, such as mortality rates, is inappropriate for cost-benefitanalysis and comparison of results between institutions.^1,2 Therefore, various risk stratification models have been developedto correct for differences between populations and to allowcomparison of actual outcome with predicted outcome.³ Thosemodels are increasingly used to investigate patient outcomesin relation to pre-operative patient and disease characteristics.Such models estimate coefficients for each risk factor of mortality,which are translated to risk scores. Then, the scores assignedto each risk factor are added to calculate the overall riskscore of mortality for a patient and to construct clinical riskgroups. Reference to these groups