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总胆固醇与2型糖尿病关联性的前瞻性队列研究
引用本文:路媛, 刘焕乐, 马韫韬, 代晓宇, 王志恒, 刘言训. 总胆固醇与2型糖尿病关联性的前瞻性队列研究[J]. 中华疾病控制杂志, 2020, 24(4): 380-383. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2020.04.002
作者姓名:路媛  刘焕乐  马韫韬  代晓宇  王志恒  刘言训
作者单位:1.250012 济南, 山东大学齐鲁医学院公共卫生学院生物统计系;;2.250012 济南, 山东大学健康医疗大数据研究院;;3.257000 东营, 胜利油田中心医院保健科;;4.730030 兰州, 兰州大学第二临床医学院
摘    要: 目的  探讨总胆固醇与2型糖尿病(type 2 diabetes, T2DM)发病的关系。 方法  筛选20~90岁入队列时未患糖尿病并且体检次数≥2次者, 应用t检验或χ2检验比较有无发生T2DM两组人群基线特征, 按总胆固醇四分位数由低到高划分4组(2.10~mmol/L组、4.16~mmol/L组、4.76~mmol/L组和5.42~13.29 mmol/L组), 应用广义估计方程(generalized estimating equation, GEE)分析总胆固醇对2型糖尿病发病的影响。 结果  此队列共纳入12 928人, 共随访45 626人年, 平均随访时间为3.53年。随访期间, 新发T2DM患者447人, 发病密度为9.80‰, 随着总胆固醇水平增高, T2DM高发病密度呈上升趋势, 在多因素GEE分析中, 调整年龄、高密度脂蛋白、是否患高血压、是否肥胖后, 以2.10~mmol/L组为参照, 4.16~mmol/L组、4.76~mmol/L组和5.42~13.29 mmol/L组的相对危险度(relative risk, RR)值分别为1.24(95%CI:0.83~1.86)、1.75(95%CI:1.19~2.56)、3.60(95%CI:2.51~5.17)。 结论  总胆固醇与T2DM存在相关性, 随着总胆固醇水平的上升, 发生T2DM的危险性逐渐增大。

关 键 词:2型糖尿病   总胆固醇   纵向数据   广义估计方程
收稿时间:2019-06-10
修稿时间:2019-09-17

Association between total cholesterol and type 2 diabetes:a prospective cohort study
LU Yuan, LIU Huan-le, MA Yun-tao, DAI Xiao-yu, WANG Zhi-heng, LIU Yan-xun. Association between total cholesterol and type 2 diabetes:a prospective cohort study[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2020, 24(4): 380-383. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2020.04.002
Authors:LU Yuan  LIU Huan-le  MA Yun-tao  DAI Xiao-yu  WANG Zhi-heng  LIU Yan-xun
Affiliation:1. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medcine, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, China;;2. Healthcare Big Data Institute of Shandong University, Jinan 250012, China;;3. Department of Health Care, Shengli Oilfield Central Hospital, Dongying 257000, China;;4. The Second Hospital Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, China
Abstract:  Objective  To explore the association between total cholesterol and type 2 diabetes(T2 DM).  Methods  Non-diabetic people who aged 20 to 90 years at the baseline and who had physical examination more than 2 times were screened. Comparisons of the baseline characteristics were conducted with Student-t test or Pearson chi-square test. Generalized estimating equation(GEE) was used to analyze the effect of total cholesterol of quantiles groups(2.10-mmol/L, 4.16-mmol/L, 4.76-mmol/L and 5.42-13.29 mmol/L) to type 2 diabetes.  Results  The cohort with an average age of 3.53 years per person included 12 928 subjects and 45 626 person-years. During the follow-up, 447 cases of new-onset diabetes occurred and the incidence density was 9.80‰. The high incidence of type 2 diabetes increased with the increase of total cholesterol. After adjusting the factors including age, high density lipoprotein, hypertension and obesity, based on the 2.10-mmol/L group, the relative risk(RR) of the 4.16-mmol/L, 4.76-mmol/L and 5.42-13.29 mmol/L group were 1.24(95% CI:0.83-1.86), 1.75(95% CI:1.19-2.56)and 3.60(95% CI:2.51-5.17), respectively.  Conclusions  Total cholesterol is associated with type 2 diabetes, and as the total cholesterol increases, the risk of developing type 2 diabetes increases.
Keywords:Type 2 diabetes  Total cholesterol  Longitudinal data  Generalized estimating equation
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