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A study on methods of estimating the population size of men who have sex with men in Southwest China
Authors:Rongsheng?Luan  Email author" target="_blank">Gang?ZengEmail author  Dapeng?Zhang  Lei?Luo  Ping?Yuan  Boheng?Liang  Yuan?Li
Institution:(1) Department of Epidemiology, West China School of Public Health Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, P.R. China;(2) Epidemiology Department of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China;(3) Department of Epidemiology, West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, 17, section 3, South Renmin road, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, P. R. China
Abstract:Objective: To ascertain practical methods of estimating the population size of men who have sex with men (MSM) by field application. Methods: Nine public places were selected, where men who have sex with men (MSM) frequented. Capture--recapture method and multiplier method were used to count the number of men who have sex with men (MSM) in the assigned places in 10 days. Results: The population size estimated using multiplier method counted 877. Three estimates produced by capture--recapture method were 1408 (95% CI: 1116--1908), 1207 (95% CI: 932--1712) and 949 (95% CI: 757--1272), respectively. Conclusions: Multiplier method was easy and smooth in practice and produced highly reliable results, which yet was expensive. The application of capture--recapture method cost less in both time and funds, and the three results produced could verify each other, which was fit for the estimation.
Keywords:Men who have sex with men (MSM)  Population size estimate  Capture--recapture method  Multiplier method
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