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A Polygenic Risk Score as a Risk Factor for Medication-Associated Fractures
Authors:Despoina Manousaki  Vincenzo Forgetta  Julyan Keller-Baruch  Kaiqiong Zhao  Celia MT Greenwood  Vincent Mooser  JH Duncan Bassett  William D Leslie  J Brent Richards
Institution:1. Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, McGill University, Montréal, Canada

Department of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montréal, Canada;2. Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, McGill University, Montréal, Canada;3. Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, McGill University, Montréal, Canada

Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montréal, Canada;4. Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, McGill University, Montréal, Canada

Department of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montréal, Canada

Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montréal, Canada

Gerald Bronfman Department of Oncology, McGill University, Montréal, Canada;5. Department of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montréal, Canada;6. Molecular Endocrinology Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK;7. Department of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada

Abstract:Some commonly prescribed drugs are associated with increased risk of osteoporotic fractures. However, fracture risk stratification using skeletal measures is not often performed to identify those at risk before these medications are prescribed. We tested whether a genomically predicted skeletal measure, speed of sound (gSOS) from heel ultrasound, which was developed in 341,449 individuals from UK Biobank and tested in a separate subset consisting of 80,027 individuals, is an independent risk factor for fracture in users of fracture-related drugs (FRDs). To do this, we first assessed 80,014 UK Biobank participants (including 12,678 FRD users) for incident major osteoporotic fracture (MOF, n = 1189) and incident hip fracture (n = 209). Effects of gSOS on incident fracture were adjusted for baseline clinical fracture risk factors. We found that each standard deviation decrease in gSOS increased the adjusted odds of MOF by 42% (95% confidence interval CI] 1.34–1.51, p < 2 × 10−16) and of hip fracture by 31% (95% CI 1.15–1.50, p = 9 × 10−5). gSOS below versus above the mean increased the adjusted odds of MOF by 79% (95% CI 1.58–2.01, p < 2 × 10−16) and of hip fracture by 42% (95% CI 1.08–1.88, p = 1.3 × 10−2). Among FRD users, each standard deviation decrease in gSOS increased the adjusted odds of MOF by 29% (nMOF = 256, 95% CI 1.14–1.46, p = 7 × 10−5) and of hip fracture by 30% (nhip fracture = 68, 95% CI 1.02–1.65, p = 0.0335). FRD users with gSOS below versus above the mean had a 54% increased adjusted odds of MOF (95% 1.19–1.99, p = 8.95 × 10−4) and a twofold increased adjusted odds of hip fracture (95% 1.19–3.31, p = 8.5 × 10−3). We therefore showed that genomically predicted heel SOS is independently associated with incident fracture among FRD users. © 2020 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
Keywords:FRACTURE RISK ASSESSMENT  CORTICOSTEROIDS  ENDOCRINE PATHWAYS  PHARMACOGENOMICS
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