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北京市2010年手足口病死亡危险因素分析
引用本文:李锡太,刘白薇,贾蕾,黎新宇,曲梅,李洁,李爽,吴晓娜,高志勇,黄芳,王全意.北京市2010年手足口病死亡危险因素分析[J].中华疾病控制杂志,2012,16(5):408-411.
作者姓名:李锡太  刘白薇  贾蕾  黎新宇  曲梅  李洁  李爽  吴晓娜  高志勇  黄芳  王全意
作者单位:北京市疾病预防控制中心传染病地方病控制所
基金项目:2010年北京市卫生局青年科研资助项目
摘    要:目的探讨北京市手足口病死亡的危险因素,为防制手足口病、减少手足口病死亡提供科学依据。方法收集2010年北京市手足口病重症和死亡病例资料,采用多因素Logistic回归分析对手足口病死亡的危险因素进行分析。结果 2010年北京市报告重症手足口病610例,其中死亡病例18例,重症病例病死率为2.95%。结果显示:患者年龄、户口类型为流动人口、诊断重症病例的医院类型为县医院、到村级(个体)医疗机构就诊和病原检测结果为肠道病毒71型(enterovirus 71,EV71)是重症手足口病死亡的影响因素。结论为减少手足口病死亡病例的发生,应重视1岁以下婴幼儿,流动人口和EV71感染儿童的防控工作,手足口病患者应到正规医院就诊,发现重症早期症状者应立即转诊到具有诊治重症病例能力的医疗机构进行科学规范救治。

关 键 词:手足口病    死亡率    危险因素    Logistic模型

Characteristics of etiology and epidemiology of hand,foot and mouth disease in Jinan City,2010
WANG Chun-rong,LV Yan,ZHAO Hong,ZHANG Wen,LIU Lan-zheng,YANG Guo-.Characteristics of etiology and epidemiology of hand,foot and mouth disease in Jinan City,2010[J].Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention,2012,16(5):408-411.
Authors:WANG Chun-rong  LV Yan  ZHAO Hong  ZHANG Wen  LIU Lan-zheng  YANG Guo-
Affiliation:WANG Chun-rong,LV Yan,ZHAO Hong,ZHANG Wen,LIU Lan-zheng,YANG Guo-liang.Virus Laboratory,Jinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Jinan 250021,China
Abstract:Objective To study the characteristics on etiology and epidemiology of hand,foot and mouth disease(HFMD) in Jinan,2010,and provide scientific basis for prevention and control of this disease.Methods Specimens including stool and pharynx swabs were collected from 808 clinically-diagnosed cases of HFMD(including 40 severe cases) in Jinan,2010,and the RT-PCR analysis was used with universal primers within 5’untranslated region of enterovirus and VP1 region of coxsackievirus A16(CoxA16) and enterovirus 71(EV71) to assay enteroviruses in children with HFMD.The VP1 genes of EV71 from EV71 positive cases were amplified by RT-PCR and sequences were analyzed.Results The positive rate of enterovirus was 71.91%(581/808).Of the 581 cases,190(32.70%) were positive for EV71,267(45.96%) were positive for CoxA16,and 124(21.34%) were negative for both EV71 and CoxA16.The major pathogen of 40 severe HFMD were EV71(75.00%).In positive cases,the majority was male;the age of most cases was less than 4 years old(85.15%),especially in 2-3 years old group(28.34%);and the high-occurrence season of HFMD was from April to May(36.14%)in Jinan,2010.Gene sequence analysis for 7 strains of EV71 PCR positive products presented as the same C4b.Conclusions The major pathogens of HFMD cases are EV71 and CoxA16 in Jinan.Children less than 4 years old are susceptible to HFMD,and severe cases of HFMD were mainly caused by EV71.
Keywords:Hand  foot and mouth disease  Noxae  Enterovirus A  human
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