| 灰色数列预测模型在传染病死亡率研究中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 姚莉.灰色数列预测模型在传染病死亡率研究中的应用[J].数理医药学杂志,2002,15(2):102-103. |
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| 作者姓名： | 姚莉 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆医科大学数理教研室,重庆,400016 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用 GM(1,1)模型 ,根据部份城市地区传染病标化死亡率建立了灰色预测模型。经检验 ,模型拟合精度甚好 ,外推预测效果满意
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色模型 预测 传染病死亡率 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-4337(2002)02-0103-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年10月8日 |
Application of Grey Series Forecasting Model in the Study of Death Rath of Infectious Diseases |
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| Yao,Li.Application of Grey Series Forecasting Model in the Study of Death Rath of Infectious Diseases[J].Journal of Mathematical Medicine,2002,15(2):102-103. |
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| Authors: | Yao Li |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, according to the standardized death rate of infectious diseases of the partial cities, the forecasting model of the standardized death rate of infectious diseases was set up with GM(1,1). By checking, the fitting precision of the model is better and the forecasting effect is satisfying. It has certain directive significance in practice. |
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| Keywords: | the Grey Model forecast death rate of infectious diseases |
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