A clinicopathological study of prognostic factors in esophageal cancer

To evaluate the malignancy of esophageal cancer, we made a statistical clinicopathological study on 66 patients resected with definite operative and histological findings. The cumulative 5-year survival rate was 26.1%. By Cox's proportional hazard model depth and lymph node metastases were the prognostic factors in "Guide Lines for the Clinical and Pathological Studies on Carcinoma of the Esophagus". New histological factors for quantity idea: 1) depth judged by presence of cancer cells before irradiation; 2) intramural spreading characteristics; 3) volume of tumor measuring the infiltrating area of each layer; 4) distribution of metastatic lymph nodes set up by anatomical restriction and surgical risk; 5) number of metastatic lymph nodes. By analyzing the interaction of these 5 factors, the depth was correlated with the volume and the intramural spreading characteristics. The lymph node metastases were correlated significantly with the volume but not with the depth. The depth and the distribution of metastatic lymph nodes influenced prognosis according to Cox's proportional hazard model. Estimated survival rates of these factors were fitted to actual survival rates respectively. Postsurgical survival and adjuvant therapy may be determined by histological factor analysis.