A myth exposed: fast growth in diameter does not justify precocious abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

OBJECTIVES: fast growth of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) diameter is claimed to be an indication for repair. We investigated the validity of this claim. METHODS: between January 1988 and October 2000, 277 patients have had duplex sonography at six-monthly intervals in our aneurysm surveillance programme. During this period fast AAA growth was not an indication for operation in our unit. RESULTS: we identified 63 patients whose aneurysms had grown 0.5 cm or more in 6 months. Thirty-one of the 63 patients had aneurysms measuring 5.5 cm or greater in anterior-posterior diameter after the fast growth and all have been operated on unless deemed not fit due to anaesthetic risk. The remaining 32 patients continued in surveillance for a total of 50 patient years and none had rupture of their aneurysm. The calculated 95% confidence interval for the risk of rupture was 0-6 per 100 patient years. Six patients, who would have been operated on if fast growth had been an indication, have been spared surgery of whom 3 died and 3 became unfit. Nine patients remained in surveillance at the end of the study. CONCLUSION: our data support the view that rapid increase in AAA diameter is not an indication for elective AAA repair.