| TRISS和ASCOT法预测交通重伤结局差异性探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 廖忆刘,白祥军,田利华,宋先舟,陈继革. TRISS和ASCOT法预测交通重伤结局差异性探讨[J]. 临床外科杂志, 2005, 13(4): 249-250 |
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| 作者姓名： | 廖忆刘 白祥军 田利华 宋先舟 陈继革 |
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| 作者单位： | 430030,武汉,华中科技大学同济医学院附属同济医院创伤外科;430030,武汉,华中科技大学同济医学院附属同济医院创伤外科;430030,武汉,华中科技大学同济医学院附属同济医院创伤外科;430030,武汉,华中科技大学同济医学院附属同济医院创伤外科;430030,武汉,华中科技大学同济医学院附属同济医院创伤外科 |
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| 基金项目： | 湖北省卫生厅科研基金资助项目 (JB1B1 64) |
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| 摘 要： | 目的 比较TRISS法和ASCOT法预测交通重伤结局的差异,探索适合交通伤结局预测的方法。方法 回顾性分析1997～2 0 0 3年1171例交通重伤患者的临床资料,采用TRISS法和ASCOT法预测交通重伤伤员的预期生存和预期死亡概率,测算误判率,比较各自判别效果。结果 ASCOT法预测伤员预期生存和预期死亡的准确性和敏感性明显高于TRISS法,前者的误判率明显低于后者,P <0 .0 5。结论 ASCOT法对交通重伤结局的预测明显优于TRISS法。
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| 关 键 词： | 交通伤 概率 创伤评分 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-6483(2005)04-0249-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-09-06 |
The coparison of predictive value on severe traffic injuries by method of TRISS and ASCOT |
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| LIAO Yi-liu,BAI Xiang-jun,TIAN Li-hua,et al.. The coparison of predictive value on severe traffic injuries by method of TRISS and ASCOT[J]. Journal of Clinical Surgery, 2005, 13(4): 249-250 |
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| Authors: | LIAO Yi-liu BAI Xiang-jun TIAN Li-hua et al. |
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| Abstract: | Objective To compare the predictive value of outcome on severely traffic injuries between TRISS and ASCOT,and selecting systems apt to predicting prognosis on traffic injuries.Methods The data of 1171 case of severely traffic accidence between 1997 and 2003 were reviewed.The effect of discrimination was analyzed comparatively by methods of TRISS and ASCOT. Results The precision and sensitivity of predicting probability of survival by ASCOT were higher than by TRISS.The rate of error discrimination of the former was lower than the latter.Conculusion The value to predict the outcome of traffic accidence by method of ASCOT was superiorto method of TRISS. |
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| Keywords: | rafic injury robability raumatic score |
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