Tumor tissue levels of tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 as a prognostic marker in primary breast cancer.

PURPOSE: In the present study, we investigated the association between tumor tissue levels of tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) and prognosis in patients with primary breast cancer and analyzed whether TIMP-1 may be useful as a prognostic marker in combination with urokinase plasminogen activator (uPA) and plasminogen activator inhibitor type-1 (PAI-1). EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: In cytosolic extracts of 2984 primary breast tumors, total levels of TIMP-1 were determined using an established, validated ELISA. Levels of uPA and PAI-1 have previously been determined in the extracts. RESULTS: Univariate survival analysis showed a significant relationship between higher levels of TIMP-1 (continuous log-transformed variable) and poor prognosis [recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS); P < 0.001]. Performing isotonic regression analysis, we identified a cut point to classify tumors as TIMP-1-low or TIMP-1-high. Using this cut point, high levels of TIMP-1 were significantly associated with shorter survival in univariate analysis, both in the total patient group (RFS, OS; P < 0.001), in the node-negative subgroup (RFS, hazard ratio = 1.28, P = 0.006), and in the node-positive subgroup (RFS, hazard ratio = 1.43, P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, including uPA and PAI-1, TIMP-1 was significantly associated with shorter RFS, both when included as a continuous log-transformed (P = 0.03) and as a dichotomized variable (P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: This study validates previous findings that tumor tissue levels of TIMP-1 are associated with prognosis in patients with primary breast cancer. It confirms that TIMP-1 may be useful as a prognostic marker in combination with uPA/PAI-1 and adds substantial positive information on the use of TIMP-1 as a prognostic marker in breast cancer.