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Surveillance imaging with FDG-PET/CT in the post-operative follow-up of stage 3 melanoma
Affiliation:1. Department of Cancer Medicine, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Victoria, Australia;2. Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Canada;3. Cancer Treatment and Development Laboratory, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Victoria, Australia;4. Centre for Biostatistics and Clinical Trials, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Victoria, Australia;5. Department of Surgery, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Victoria, Australia;6. Department of Surgery, St Vincent’s Hospital, Victoria, Australia;7. Department of Radiation Oncology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Victoria, Australia;8. Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology, The University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia;9. Department of Dermatology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Victoria, Australia;10. Department of Cancer Imaging, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Victoria, Australia;11. Department of Pathology, The University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia;12. Department of Oncology, Alfred Health, Victoria, Australia;13. Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Allied Health, Monash University, Victoria, Australia
Abstract:BackgroundAs early detection of recurrent melanoma maximizes treatment options, patients usually undergo post-operative imaging surveillance, increasingly with FDG-PET/CT (PET). To assess this, we evaluated stage 3 melanoma patients who underwent prospectively applied and sub-stage-specific schedules of PET surveillance.Patients and methodsFrom 2009, patients with stage 3 melanoma routinely underwent PET +/− MRI brain scans via defined schedules based on sub-stage-specific relapse probabilities. Data were collected regarding patient characteristics and outcomes. Contingency analyses were carried out of imaging outcomes.ResultsOne hundred and seventy patients (stage 3A: 34; 3B: 93; 3C: 43) underwent radiological surveillance. Relapses were identified in 65 (38%) patients, of which 45 (69%) were asymptomatic. False-positive imaging findings occurred in 7%, and 6% had treatable second (non-melanoma) malignancies. Positive predictive values (PPV) of individual scans were 56%−83%. Negative scans had predictive values of 89%−96% for true non-recurrence [negative predictive values (NPV)] until the next scan. A negative PET at 18 months had NPVs of 80%−84% for true non-recurrence at any time in the 47-month (median) follow-up period. Sensitivity and specificity of the overall approach of sub-stage-specific PET surveillance were 70% and 87%, respectively. Of relapsed patients, 33 (52%) underwent potentially curative resection and 10 (16%) remained disease-free after 24 months (median).ConclusionsApplication of sub-stage-specific PET in stage 3 melanoma enables asymptomatic detection of most recurrences, has high NPVs that may provide patient reassurance, and is associated with a high rate of detection of resectable and potentially curable disease at relapse.
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