Relationship between histological prognosis of chronic hepatitis C and amount of hepatitis C virus core protein in serum

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) viraemia is one of the factors for histological prognosis of chronic hepatitis C. METHODS: One hundred and thirty-five patients who received hepatic biopsies twice at intervals of 5 years or longer were followed up for a mean of 9.7 +/- 4.0 years were studied retrospectively. The amount of HCV viraemia present was measured as the concentration of HCV core protein by using the fluorescence enzyme immunoassay method. RESULTS: Multiple-regression analysis, using deterioration of the histological stage as a dependent variable, showed that greater age (P = 0.041), higher stage of hepatic histology at the start of follow up (P = 0.029), and higher serum concentration of core protein (P < 0.001) were independent factors affecting the deterioration of the liver's histological stage. At follow up, no significant difference in histological stage was seen between patients with serum HCV core protein > or = 100 pg/mL (n = 60) and those with serum core protein < 100 pg/mL (n = 75). The histological grade in patients with high serum core-protein levels tended to be significantly worse and the deterioration rate of the histological stage was significantly higher than in those with low HCV core protein levels (68 vs 35%, P < 0.001). The mutation rate of the HCV envelope-2/non-structural 1 (E2/NS1) nucleotide region was compared in two patients who had high serum concentrations of HCV core protein and whose histological stage had deteriorated with two patients who had low serum concentrations of the core protein and whose histological stages remained unchanged. No significant difference in E2/NS1 mutation was found. CONCLUSIONS: The amount of HCV viraemia was suggested to be a significant factor for determining histological outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis C. The mutation rate in the E2/NS1 region did not seem to be associated with the prognosis of chronic hepatitis C.