Arrhythmia risk stratification in idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy based on echocardiography and 12-lead, signal-averaged, and 24-hour holter electrocardiography

BACKGROUND: To date, considerable controversy exists regarding noninvasive arrhythmia risk stratification in idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy (IDC).Methods and Results Between 1992 and 1997, 202 patients with IDC without a history of sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) underwent echocardiography, signal-averaged electrocardiogram (ECG), and 24-hour Holter ECG in the absence of antiarrhythmic drugs. During 32 +/- 15 months of prospective follow-up, major arrhythmic events, including sustained VT, ventricular fibrillation, or sudden death, occurred in 32 (16%) of 202 patients. After adjusting for baseline medical therapy and antiarrhythmic therapy during follow-up, multivariate Cox regression analysis identified a left ventricular (LV) end-diastolic diameter >/=70 mm and nonsustained VT on Holter as the only independent arrhythmia risk predictors. The combination of an LV end-diastolic diameter >/=70 mm and nonsustained VT was associated with a 14. 3-fold risk for future arrhythmic events (95% confidence interval 2. 3-90). To further elucidate the prognostic value of LV ejection fraction, multivariate Cox analysis was repeated with ejection fraction forced to remain in the model. In the latter model, an ejection fraction /=70 mm and nonsustained VT on Holter, and the combination of LV ejection fraction