Epstein-Barr virus seronegativity is a risk factor for late-onset posttransplant lymphoroliferative disorder in adult renal allograft recipients

BACKGROUND: Posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) remains a difficult management issue; therefore, many studies focus on the identification of risk factors to allow for preventive strategies. We investigated risk factors for PTLD in the adult renal transplant setting. METHODS: A single-center, matched case-control study design was used. Cases were identified from patients who underwent a first renal transplant between January 1, 1985, and December 1, 2001. Two controls were chosen per case, matched (+/-1 year) by date of transplant and graft survival. Clinical and demographic data were ascertained from medical records. Pretransplant serology for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and cytomegalovirus was confirmed on frozen, stored sera. Statistical analysis included univariate and multivariable examination of putative risk factors using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Twenty cases of PTLD were identified, an incidence of 2.4%. Median time from transplant to diagnosis was 55 months (range, 3-168 months), with 16 cases of late-onset PTLD (>1 year posttransplant). The only significant risk in univariate analysis was EBV-negative status at transplant (risk ratio 6.0, P=0.03). In multivariable analysis, EBV-negative status remained significant (adjusted risk ratio 8.9, P=0.01). The risk related to EBV status held true when late cases were analyzed separately (adjusted risk ratio 7.1, P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Pretransplant EBV-seronegative status is a strong risk for development of PTLD in adult renal allograft recipients, even in late disease. These results indicate that primary infection with EBV may have a pathogenic role in some cases of late PTLD.