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灰色数列预测模型在煤工尘肺预测中的应用
引用本文:景学安.灰色数列预测模型在煤工尘肺预测中的应用[J].泰山医学院学报,1992,13(2):147-150.
作者姓名:景学安
作者单位:泰山医学院卫生学教研室
摘    要:利用灰色数列预测模型对煤工尘肺年度患病人数进行了预测,同时与指数曲线模型和二次抛物线模型的预测效果进行了比较。结果表明:灰色数列预测模型外推性预测效果优于另外二种模型。

关 键 词:灰色数列  煤工尘肺  患病人数  指数曲线模型  年度  利用  外推  预测模型

APPLICATION OF GREY SERIES FORECASTINS MODEL IN THE COAL WORKERS'PNEUMOCONIOSIS FORECAST
Jing Xuean.APPLICATION OF GREY SERIES FORECASTINS MODEL IN THE COAL WORKERS''''PNEUMOCONIOSIS FORECAST[J].Journal of Taishan Medical College,1992,13(2):147-150.
Authors:Jing Xuean
Abstract:Grey series forecasting model was used to forecast the yearly patients suffering from coal workers'pneumoconiosis.Meanwhile,the forecasting effect of the model was compared with that of the exponential curve and quadratic parabola models.The result showed that the forecasting effect of grey series forecasting model was better than the other two forecasting models.
Keywords:grey model  forecast  coal workers' pneumoconiosis
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