Estimated short-term effects of coarse particles on daily mortality in Stockholm, Sweden

Background: Although serious health effects associated with particulate matter (PM) with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 10 μm (PM₁₀) and ≤ 2.5 μm (PM_2.5; fine fraction) are documented in many studies, the effects of coarse PM (PM_2.5–10) are still under debate.Objective: In this study, we estimated the effects of short-term exposure of PM_2.5–10 on daily mortality in Stockholm, Sweden.Method: We collected data on daily mortality for the years 2000 through 2008. Concentrations of PM₁₀, PM_2.5, ozone, and carbon monoxide were measured simultaneously in central Stockholm. We used additive Poisson regression models to examine the association between daily mortality and PM_2.5–10 on the day of death and the day before. Effect estimates were adjusted for other pollutants (two-pollutant models) during different seasons.Results: We estimated a 1.68% increase 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.20%, 3.15%] in daily mortality per 10-μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5–10 (single-pollutant model). The association with PM_2.5–10 was stronger for November through May, when road dust is most important (1.69% increase; 95% CI: 0.21%, 3.17%), compared with the rest of the year (1.31% increase; 95% CI: –2.08%, 4.70%), although the difference was not statistically significant. When adjusted for other pollutants, particularly PM_2.5, the effect estimates per 10 μg/m³ for PM_2.5–10 decreased slightly but were still higher than corresponding effect estimates for PM_2.5.Conclusions: Our analysis shows an increase in daily mortality associated with elevated urban background levels of PM_2.5–10. Regulation of PM_2.5–10 should be considered, along with actions to specifically reduce PM_2.5–10 emissions, especially road dust suspension, in cities.