| 山东省艾滋病高危人群规模估计及疫情预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 康殿民,王洁贞,傅继华,毕振强,黄涛,吕翠霞.山东省艾滋病高危人群规模估计及疫情预测[J].预防医学论坛,2006,12(1):6-7. |
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| 作者姓名： | 康殿民 王洁贞 傅继华 毕振强 黄涛 吕翠霞 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 山东省疾病预防控制中心,山东,济南,250014
2. 山东大学公共卫生学院,山东,济南,250012 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的]估计山东省艾滋病各类高危人群的规模，预测艾滋病病毒（HIV）感染者人数，为艾滋病防治工作提供依据。方法]依据山东省艾滋病病例报告、哨点监测、艾滋病专题调查等获得的数据，参考有关资料，运用Workbook估计法，估计山东省各市艾滋病高危人群基数，预测艾滋病疫情。结果]估计山东省现有HIV高危险人群1023770～1864181人；预测山东省现有艾滋病感染者7077人。结论]山东省目前仍处于艾滋病低流行状态，但流行形势并不乐观。
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| 关 键 词： | 艾滋病 高危人群 HIV感染者 估计 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-9153（2006）01-0006-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-07-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年7月29日 |
Estimation on Scale of HIV/AIDS High Risk Population and Prediction on Epidemic Situation in Shandong Province |
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| KANG Dian-min , WANG Jie-zhen , FU Ji-hua ,et al..Estimation on Scale of HIV/AIDS High Risk Population and Prediction on Epidemic Situation in Shandong Province[J].Preventive Medicine Tribune,2006,12(1):6-7. |
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| Authors: | KANG Dian-min WANG Jie-zhen FU Ji-hua |
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| Institution: | KANG Dian-min , WANG Jie-zhen , FU Ji-hua , et al. |
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| Abstract: | Objective]To estimate scale of HIV/AIDS high risk populations in Shandong Province,predict the number of HIV cases and provide data for HIV/AIDS control and prevention. Methods]In accordance with data from HIV/AIDS case reports,surveillance sentinels and HIV/AIDS investigations and in reference to data from other provinces,the estimation method of Workbook was used to estimate the base of HIV/AIDS high risk populations of Shandong Province and predict epidemic situations. Results]It was estimated that there were 7 077 HIV cases in Shandong Province. Conclusion] HIV/AIDS is still in a low prevalence state, but the epidemic situation is far from optimistic. |
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| Keywords: | AIDS High risk populations HIV Infectors Estimation |
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