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A clinical risk score to identify patients at high risk of very late stent thrombosis
Authors:Thea C Godschalk MSc  PhD  Marieke E Gimbel MD  Wouter W Nolet MD  Dionne J van Kessel MD  Giovanni Amoroso MD  PhD  Willem J Dewilde MD  PhD  Joanna J Wykrzykowska MD  PhD  Paul W Janssen MD  PhD  Thomas O Bergmeijer MD  Johannes C Kelder MD  PhD  Ton Heestermans MD  PhD  Jurriën M ten Berg MD  PhD
Institution:1. Department of Cardiology, St Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, the Netherlands;2. Department of Cardiology, OLVG, Amsterdam, the Netherlands;3. Department of Cardiology, Amphia Hospital, Breda, the Netherlands;4. Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam Medical Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands;5. Department of Cardiology, Noordwest Hospital Group, Alkmaar, the Netherlands
Abstract:

Objectives

The aim of this study was to determine predictors of very late stent thrombosis (VLST; >1 year after stenting), and to evaluate whether addition of these predictors to the dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) score would improve the ability to identify patients at high risk of VLST who might benefit from DAPT.

Background

VLST is a severe complication of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Extended knowledge about the predictors of VLST is needed to prevent this life‐threatening complication. Recent data showed a reduction in VLST after treatment with prolonged DAPT. The DAPT study developed a prediction score to identify patients after PCI who might benefit from prolonged DAPT duration.

Methods

The Dutch stent thrombosis study is a multi‐center case‐control study. Consecutive patients with definite VLST were included between 2007 and 2014. Baseline characteristics from the index PCI were collected. Independent predictors of VLST were identified and added to the DAPT score to develop the VLST score.

Results

In total, 155 VLST cases and 155 matched controls were included. Suboptimal result of stenting, right coronary artery as target vessel, and diffuse coronary artery ectasia were independent predictors of VLST, and added to the DAPT score. The power of the VLST score to identify patients who experienced VLST was increased (AUC, 95%CI; DAPT score: 0.64, 0.57‐0.70; VLST score: 0.70, 0.63‐0.76, P = 0.010).

Conclusions

Addition of newly identified independent predictors of VLST resulted in a prediction model with a higher ability to identify patients at high risk of VLST who might benefit from prolonged DAPT.
Keywords:dual antiplatelet therapy  prediction model  very late stent thrombosis
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