Cost-effectiveness and implications of newborn screening for prolongation of QT interval for the prevention of sudden infant death syndrome

OBJECTIVE: To determine the cost-effectiveness of universal and high-risk neonatal electrocardiographic (ECG) screening for QT prolongation as a predictor of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) risk in a theoretical group of neonates.Study design: Incremental cost-effectiveness analysis with decision analytic modeling. A hypothetical cohort of healthy, term infants was modeled, comparing options of no screening, high-risk neonate screening, and universal screening. The high-risk strategy is speculative, because no currently accepted methodology is known for identifying infants at high risk for SIDS. Given the uncertain mechanisms of association between prolonged corrected QT interval (QTc) and SIDS, analyses were repeated under different assumptions. Sensitivity analyses were also performed on all input variables for both costs and effectiveness. RESULTS: Under the assumption that neonatal electrocardiographic screening detects long QT syndrome responsive to conventional therapy, the cost-effectiveness of high-risk screening was $3403 per life year gained, whereas universal screening cost $18,465 per additional life year gained. However, if the effectiveness of SIDS therapy falls below 10%, the cost-effectiveness deteriorates to $28,376 per life year saved for the high-risk strategy and $118,900 for universal screening. The analyses were robust to a broad array of sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The acceptability of the cost-effectiveness of neonatal electrocardiographic screening is heavily dependent on the pathophysiologic mechanism of SIDS and on the efficacy of monitoring and antiarrhythmic treatment. The nature of this association must be elucidated before routine neonatal electrocardiographic screening is warranted.