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A post-marketing safety assessment of COVID-19 mRNA vaccination for serious adverse outcomes using administrative claims data linked with vaccination registry in a city of Japan
Institution:1. Division of Medical Statistics, Department of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Toho University, Tokyo, Japan;2. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan;3. Department of Health Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan;4. Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK;5. Department of Eat-loss Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan;6. Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan;7. Interfaculty Initiative in Information Studies, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan;8. Department of Clinical Epidemiology & Health Economics, School of Public Health, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Abstract:IntroductionThe safety profiles of COVID-19 vaccines are incompletely evaluated in Japan.ObjectivesTo examine the risk of serious adverse effects after COVID-19 mRNA vaccination (BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273) in cohort studies and self-controlled case series (SCCS).MethodsUsing an administrative claims database linked with the COVID-19 vaccination registry in a city in Japan between September 2020 and September 2021, we identified health insurance enrolees aged ≥ 18 years. We evaluated the risk of acute myocardial infarction, appendicitis, Bell’s palsy, convulsions/seizures, disseminated intravascular coagulation, immune thrombocytopenia, pulmonary embolism, haemorrhagic or ischemic stroke, venous thromboembolism, and all-cause mortality, 21 days following any COVID-19 mRNA vaccination, compared with non-vaccination periods. For the cohort studies, we estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) by Poisson regression and rate differences (IRDs) by weighted least-squares regression, adjusting for sex, age, and Charlson comorbidity index. We applied a modified SCCS design to appropriately treat outcome-dependent exposures. For the modified SCCS, we estimated within-subject IRRs by weighted conditional Poisson regression. Subgroup analyses stratified by sex and age were also conducted.ResultsWe identified 184,491 enrolees male: 87,218; mean (standard deviation) age: 64.2 (19.5) years] with 136,667 first and 127,322 s dose vaccinations. The risks of any outcomes did not increase in any analyses, except for the fact that the modified SCCS indicated an increased risk of pulmonary embolism after the first dose in women (within-subject IRR 95%CI]: 3.97 1.18–13.32]).ConclusionThe findings suggested that the COVID-19 mRNA vaccine was generally safe, whilst a signal of pulmonary embolism following the first dose of the COVID-19 mRNA vaccine was observed.
Keywords:Cohort study  Medical information database  Observational study  Pharmacoepidemiology  Self-controlled case series  COVID-19"}  {"#name":"keyword"  "$":{"id":"k0035"}  "$$":[{"#name":"text"  "_":"coronavirus disease 2019  CCI"}  {"#name":"keyword"  "$":{"id":"k0045"}  "$$":[{"#name":"text"  "_":"Charlson comorbidity index  CI"}  {"#name":"keyword"  "$":{"id":"k0055"}  "$$":[{"#name":"text"  "_":"confidence interval  ICD-10"}  {"#name":"keyword"  "$":{"id":"k0065"}  "$$":[{"#name":"text"  "_":"International Classification of Diseases  10th revision  IRD"}  {"#name":"keyword"  "$":{"id":"k0075"}  "$$":[{"#name":"text"  "_":"incidence rate difference  IRR  incidence rate ratio  NA"}  {"#name":"keyword"  "$":{"id":"k0085"}  "$$":[{"#name":"text"  "_":"not available  SCCS"}  {"#name":"keyword"  "$":{"id":"k0095"}  "$$":[{"#name":"text"  "_":"self-controlled case series  SD"}  {"#name":"keyword"  "$":{"id":"k0105"}  "$$":[{"#name":"text"  "_":"standard deviation
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