中国部分市县前列腺癌发病趋势比较研究

目的 探讨中国大陆前列腺癌发病的流行病学特征.方法收集整理中国大陆30个肿瘤登记处1988-2002年15年间前列腺癌发病登记的数据资料,选取数据较为齐全的北京、天津、上海、武汉、哈尔滨、河北磁县、江苏肩东、浙江嘉善、广西扶绥、福建长乐、河南林州11个登记处的资料,按5年1个时段分为1988-1992、1993-1997、1998-2002年3个时间段,比较分析前列腺癌发病率、病死率,采用美国癌症研究所开发的统计软件Joinpoint Regression Program 3.3.1分析其流行趋势.通过对发病率的对数转换线性回归分析计算年度变化百分比.结果 30个登记处1988-1992、1993-1997、1998-2002年前列腺癌的发病率分别为1.96/10万、3.09/10万、4.36/10万,发病率有明显上升趋势.但与美国、加拿大、欧洲部分国家和地区比仍处于较低水平.结论 我国前列腺癌发病率呈现逐年上升趋势,将成为影响我国居民健康的主要恶性肿瘤之一,需引起重视.

A comparative study on incidence trends of prostate cancer in part of cities and counties in China

Objective To investigate the epidemic characteristics of prostate cancer in China. Methods The population-based cancer registration data between year 1988 and 2002 were collected from 30 cancer registries in China. The data from 11 registries with continuous record were analyzed using the software Joinpoint Regression Program 3.3.1, and the incidence of bladder cancer among 3 different periods (1988-1992, 1993-1997 and 1998-2002) were compared. Results The inci-dence of prostate cancer was 1.96, 3.09, 4. 36 per 100 000 during 1998-1992, 1993-1997 and 1998-2002, respectively. The up-trend of prostate cancer incidence was statistically significant, how-ever it is still lower in China compared with other parts of the world from 1993 to 1997. Conclusions The incidence of prostate cancer in China showed a significant upward trend year by year, and prostate cancer might be one of major cancer in China. We should pay attention to it.